Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.4%Purdue

18.6%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -438

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 79

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 71

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricNorthwestern

73.2MMH Power Index55.4

124.8Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.8Defensive Efficiency109.8

17.0Net Efficiency1.8

7.6Strength of Schedule5.6

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

65.4Tempo65.6

57.8%Effective FG%51.9%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.0%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

29.1%Free Throw Rate34.8%

11.1Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (124.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.8–109.8), net efficiency (17.0–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–13.7), free throw rate (34.8–29.1).

Final

Purdue

88—92

Northwestern

Northwestern by 4 • 79.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATNorthwestern

26-60FG31-66

43.0%FG%47.0%

5-193PT10-20

26.0%3PT%50.0%

31-41FT20-32

76.0%FT%63.0%

52Rebounds27

16Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists22

17Turnovers3

1Steals8

4Blocks1

27Fouls29

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	38	10-17	0-0	15-20	14	1	0	3	35
Fletcher Loyer	G	34	5-8	3-5	4-5	3	1	0	0	17
Braden Smith	G	41	5-12	0-2	2-2	7	9	1	0	12
Lance Jones	Guard	31	2-11	1-7	5-6	5	0	0	1	10
Mason Gillis	Forward	29	1-2	0-1	2-2	6	0	0	0	4
Caleb Furst	Forward	11	2-3	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Camden Heide	F	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	13	0-3	0-0	3-6	2	2	0	0	3
Ethan Morton	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	43	10-20	2-5	9-10	4	9	2	0	31
Ty Berry	Guard	35	7-11	3-5	4-4	2	4	1	0	21
Ryan Langborg	Guard	42	7-13	4-5	2-4	4	2	1	0	20
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	37	3-8	0-1	2-4	5	2	1	0	8
Luke Hunger	F	14	2-5	1-3	1-3	5	2	0	0	6
Blake Preston	Forward	19	1-3	0-0	2-7	3	1	2	0	4
Matthew Nicholson	Center	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	2
Nick Martinelli	F	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.9Possessions79.9

110.1Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency110.1

-5.0Net Efficiency5.0

47.5%Effective FG%54.5%

55.4%True Shooting %56.7%

21.1%Turnover Rate3.8%

68.3%Free Throw Rate48.5%

31.7%3-Point Rate30.3%

0.88Assist / Turnover7.33

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 79.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.