Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.8%Northwestern State

92.2%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -1182

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 66

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreBaylor 82

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricBaylor

41.3MMH Power Index58.9

104.0Offensive Efficiency116.7

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

-5.0Net Efficiency7.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule4.0

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

63.6Tempo69.7

49.5%Effective FG%54.4%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-3.2Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–41.3), offensive efficiency (116.7–104.0), net efficiency (7.2–-5.0), strength of schedule (4.0–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–109.5), free throw rate (41.2–34.8).

Final

Northwestern State

40—91

Baylor

Baylor by 51 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATBaylor

14-56FG32-60

25.0%FG%53.3%

5-243PT10-28

20.8%3PT%35.7%

7-12FT17-26

58.3%FT%65.4%

22Rebounds51

7Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists14

13Turnovers9

5Steals4

3Blocks9

22Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jimel Lane	F	27	4-5	1-2	1-2	3	0	0	2	10
Cliff Davis	G	29	3-13	3-9	0-0	0	1	1	0	9
Chase Forte	G	27	2-9	0-2	2-3	4	3	2	1	6
Braelon Bush	G	30	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Justin Wilson	Forward	20	1-4	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Ryan Forrest	Guard	20	0-9	0-3	3-4	2	0	0	0	3
Jamison Epps	Guard	20	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Jae Slack	F	13	1-5	0-2	0-1	3	0	1	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Mitch Williams	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Karlin Hardy	SG	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Bridges	Forward	23	6-12	4-8	0-0	8	0	0	2	16
RayJ Dennis	Guard	24	5-10	2-3	2-2	4	6	0	0	14
Yves Missi	Center	18	4-5	0-0	5-8	10	0	0	4	13
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	25	4-11	0-5	2-3	1	2	4	0	10
Jayden Nunn	Guard	24	3-4	0-1	3-4	2	1	0	1	9
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	10	3-4	3-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Caleb Lohner	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	2-3	7	0	0	0	6
Josh Ojianwuna	F	14	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	5
Langston Love	G	19	1-5	0-4	2-4	3	2	0	0	4
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua	Forward	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Miro Little	G	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Austin Sacks	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

59.2Offensive Efficiency134.6

134.6Defensive Efficiency59.2

-75.4Net Efficiency75.4

29.5%Effective FG%61.7%

32.4%True Shooting %62.9%

19.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

21.4%Free Throw Rate43.3%

42.9%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Baylor won by 51 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.