Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

93.2%Gonzaga

6.8%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -16.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -1371

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 86

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreUSC 70

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricUSC

76.4MMH Power Index48.3

119.7Offensive Efficiency108.5

94.0Defensive Efficiency107.6

25.7Net Efficiency0.9

3.0Strength of Schedule2.5

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

70.4Tempo72.4

55.7%Effective FG%50.7%

13.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

31.5%Free Throw Rate45.3%

18.1Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–48.3), offensive efficiency (119.7–108.5), defensive efficiency (94.0–107.6), net efficiency (25.7–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (45.3–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

89—76

USC

Gonzaga by 13 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATUSC

34-65FG31-66

52.3%FG%47.0%

12-223PT6-22

54.5%3PT%27.3%

9-12FT8-17

75.0%FT%47.1%

39Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists12

13Turnovers10

6Steals6

4Blocks3

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	38	6-11	1-1	2-2	2	7	0	0	15
Dusty Stromer	G	35	5-13	4-9	1-2	5	2	0	1	15
Graham Ike	F	24	5-10	0-0	4-4	10	1	1	1	14
Ben Gregg	Forward	17	5-7	2-3	2-2	8	2	0	0	14
Braden Huff	F	19	5-9	2-3	0-2	2	0	0	0	12
Nolan Hickman	Guard	36	4-6	2-4	0-0	3	4	2	1	10
Anton Watson	Forward	30	4-9	1-2	0-0	5	1	3	1	9
Junseok Yeo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Ellis	Guard	39	12-21	4-9	0-0	7	4	2	0	28
Isaiah Collier	Guard	32	6-14	0-1	2-6	4	6	1	0	14
Arrinten Page	F	22	4-7	0-1	1-3	4	0	0	0	9
Kobe Johnson	Guard	29	3-10	1-6	0-0	3	1	1	1	7
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	17	3-3	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	6
DJ Rodman	Forward	19	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Joshua Morgan	Forward	18	1-3	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	2	5
Harrison Hornery	Forward	14	0-3	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Kijani Wright	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Oziyah Sellers	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

127.3Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency127.3

18.6Net Efficiency-18.6

61.5%Effective FG%51.5%

62.9%True Shooting %51.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

18.5%Free Throw Rate25.8%

33.8%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.