UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%UNC Wilmington

73.7%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -280

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 72

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreKentucky 79

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricKentucky

59.2MMH Power Index63.9

114.1Offensive Efficiency115.2

101.7Defensive Efficiency106.3

12.4Net Efficiency8.9

-1.5Strength of Schedule8.7

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

66.9Tempo69.9

51.1%Effective FG%53.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

41.7%Free Throw Rate38.0%

8.3Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.7–106.3), net efficiency (12.4–8.9), recent form (5.5–-1.0), ball security (14.8–15.4).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (63.9–59.2), offensive efficiency (115.2–114.1), strength of schedule (8.7–-1.5).

Final

UNC Wilmington

80—73

Kentucky

UNC Wilmington by 7 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATKentucky

28-65FG24-59

43.1%FG%40.7%

11-313PT5-17

35.5%3PT%29.4%

13-20FT20-25

65.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists14

12Turnovers13

6Steals6

—Blocks4

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trazarien White	Forward	30	9-16	1-1	8-13	10	0	0	27
Donovan Newby	Not Available	26	5-8	3-6	2-2	1	1	0	15
Shykeim Phillips	Guard	22	5-10	0-2	3-4	6	4	1	13
KJ Jenkins	Guard	23	4-13	3-9	0-0	5	2	1	11
Maleeck Harden-Hayes	Guard	21	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	3
Eric Van Der Heijden	Forward	20	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	3
Nolan Hodge	G	16	1-6	1-5	0-1	2	1	2	3
Noah Ross	G	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	3
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	2
Khamari McGriff	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Nick Farrar	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reed Sheppard	Guard	39	9-17	3-6	4-4	9	6	2	0	25
Antonio Reeves	Guard	27	5-9	1-2	3-4	3	0	1	0	14
Tre Mitchell	Center	36	2-5	1-2	6-8	6	3	0	1	11
Justin Edwards	Forward	32	4-14	0-5	3-4	6	2	2	1	11
Adou Thiero	Forward	25	2-4	0-0	3-3	6	0	0	1	7
Aaron Bradshaw	F	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	3
Rob Dillingham	Guard	24	1-9	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	2
Jordan Burks	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

104.3Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency104.3

9.1Net Efficiency-9.1

51.5%Effective FG%44.9%

53.7%True Shooting %51.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.1%

30.8%Free Throw Rate42.4%

47.7%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.