Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Florida State

77.4%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -342

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 74

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 84

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricNorth Carolina

58.7MMH Power Index65.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency115.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

3.4Net Efficiency11.7

5.7Strength of Schedule7.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.8Tempo69.0

52.4%Effective FG%54.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate38.1%

2.4Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–58.7), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.5), net efficiency (11.7–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.6–-1.8).

Final

Florida State

70—78

North Carolina

North Carolina by 8 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

27-67FG24-57

40.3%FG%42.1%

12-283PT5-22

42.9%3PT%22.7%

4-8FT25-31

50.0%FT%80.6%

30Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists13

12Turnovers13

6Steals7

3Blocks8

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	32	7-14	3-6	0-0	8	2	1	0	17
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	35	4-10	4-9	0-0	4	1	1	0	12
De'Ante Green	F	28	5-9	1-2	1-2	3	3	0	0	12
Baba Miller	F	25	5-8	2-5	0-2	4	1	1	1	12
Jalen Warley	G	22	2-8	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	1	4
Chandler Jackson	G	18	1-6	1-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	4
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Cam'Ron Fletcher	F	15	1-6	1-1	0-0	7	1	0	1	3
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	12	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Tom House	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	38	8-17	3-9	8-8	3	5	2	0	27
Armando Bacot	Forward	32	4-8	0-0	5-5	13	0	0	6	13
Harrison Ingram	Forward	37	3-11	0-4	5-7	6	2	2	0	11
Seth Trimble	G	14	3-3	0-0	3-4	0	1	0	0	9
Cormac Ryan	Guard	32	2-9	2-7	2-3	6	1	2	0	8
Elliot Cadeau	G	27	3-5	0-1	1-2	3	3	1	0	7
Jalen Washington	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	1
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

94.9Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency94.9

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

49.3%Effective FG%46.5%

49.4%True Shooting %54.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

11.9%Free Throw Rate54.4%

41.8%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.