Drexel

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.5%Drexel

87.5%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL141.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -700

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrexel 65

Projected Total141.9

Projected ScoreVillanova 77

Team Comparison

DrexelMetricVillanova

46.5MMH Power Index59.4

103.6Offensive Efficiency114.7

102.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

1.2Net Efficiency8.8

-0.4Strength of Schedule4.4

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

65.7Tempo67.3

51.3%Effective FG%53.9%

19.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate31.4%

0.8Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–103.6), net efficiency (8.8–1.2), strength of schedule (4.4–-0.4).

Drexel COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.4–105.9), free throw rate (32.3–31.4).

Final

Drexel

57—55

Villanova

Drexel by 2 • 58.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrexelTEAM STATVillanova

24-49FG20-61

49.0%FG%32.8%

8-163PT5-27

50.0%3PT%18.5%

1-3FT10-14

33.3%FT%71.4%

30Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds16

9Assists11

12Turnovers6

4Steals6

8Blocks1

13Fouls7

Player Box Score

Drexel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amari Williams	Center	23	5-8	1-1	1-2	6	2	1	5	12
Luke House	Guard	30	4-9	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	1	11
Lamar Oden Jr.	Guard	31	3-7	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Justin Moore	G	25	3-6	1-2	0-0	6	4	0	0	7
Yame Butler	G	15	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	7
Kobe MaGee	G	20	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Lucas Monroe	Forward	9	2-4	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	4
Jamie Bergens	Guard	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Garfield Turner	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Mate Okros	Forward	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	29	7-14	2-6	5-6	3	1	1	0	21
Jordan Longino	Guard	26	6-8	1-3	0-0	4	3	0	1	13
Hakim Hart	Guard	23	3-5	1-3	1-2	8	2	1	0	8
Justin Moore	Guard	33	1-11	0-3	2-2	3	3	2	0	4
TJ Bamba	Guard	21	1-8	0-2	2-2	4	1	1	0	4
Tyler Burton	Forward	22	1-8	1-6	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Lance Ware	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	0	2
Brendan Hausen	G	20	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Mark Armstrong	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.1Possessions58.1

98.1Offensive Efficiency94.7

94.7Defensive Efficiency98.1

3.4Net Efficiency-3.4

57.1%Effective FG%36.9%

56.5%True Shooting %40.7%

20.5%Turnover Rate10.4%

6.1%Free Throw Rate23.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate44.3%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Drexel won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.