Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%Colorado State

56.0%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOle Miss -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEOle Miss -127

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 75

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreOle Miss 77

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricOle Miss

55.4MMH Power Index53

117.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.9Defensive Efficiency109.5

7.2Net Efficiency-0.3

0.4Strength of Schedule5.4

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

64.7Tempo69.5

58.6%Effective FG%50.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

41.2%Free Throw Rate33.8%

4.6Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–109.2), net efficiency (7.2–-0.3), recent form (4.3–-2.3).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–109.9), strength of schedule (5.4–0.4), ball security (14.0–18.3).

Final

Colorado State

67—84

Ole Miss

Ole Miss by 17 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATOle Miss

24-50FG28-55

48.0%FG%51.0%

9-263PT9-19

35.0%3PT%47.0%

10-11FT19-26

91.0%FT%73.0%

29Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists15

15Turnovers4

—Steals9

1Blocks1

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Jalen Lake	Guard	34	8-14	5-7	0-0	3	2	0	21
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	8-12	1-4	1-2	7	5	1	18
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	22	3-5	0-1	5-5	4	1	0	11
Kyle Jorgensen	F	16	1-2	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	6
Bowen Born	Guard	15	2-6	2-6	0-0	0	2	0	6
Kyan Evans	G	28	2-8	1-6	0-0	2	3	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	34	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	4	0	0
Keshawn Williams	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0
Nikola Djapa	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Murray	Guard	33	4-6	2-3	6-6	2	6	2	0	16
Mikeal Brown-Jones	Forward	12	4-5	0-1	6-9	1	0	2	0	14
Dre Davis	Guard	23	4-10	1-4	2-3	4	1	2	1	11
Malik Dia	F	18	5-7	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	11
Matthew Murrell	Guard	32	3-9	2-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	10
Sean Pedulla	Guard	36	4-7	1-2	0-2	4	2	2	0	9
Davon Barnes	Not Available	21	2-4	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	20	2-7	1-2	1-2	4	2	0	0	6
Eduardo Klafke	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Robert Cowherd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

106.7Offensive Efficiency133.8

133.8Defensive Efficiency106.7

-27.1Net Efficiency27.1

57.0%Effective FG%59.1%

60.7%True Shooting %62.4%

23.7%Turnover Rate6.4%

22.0%Free Throw Rate47.3%

52.0%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.27Assist / Turnover3.75

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.