Illinois logo

Illinois

28-9
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
94.8%Illinois
5.2%Rutgers
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADIllinois -18.5
PROJECTED TOTAL150.6
MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1823
Rutgers logo

Rutgers

13-20
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois 85
Projected Total150.6
Projected ScoreRutgers 66

Team Comparison

76.5MMH Power Index45.9
125.0Offensive Efficiency104.2
103.3Defensive Efficiency112.2
21.7Net Efficiency-8.0
6.7Strength of Schedule3.9
12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6
66.5Tempo67.4
54.8%Effective FG%47.4%
13.1%Turnover Rate15.0%
39.3%Offensive Rebound %29.2%
33.8%Free Throw Rate36.3%
14.5Average Margin-5.4
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–45.9), offensive efficiency (125.0–104.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–112.2), net efficiency (21.7–-8.0).
Rutgers COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.3–33.8).
Final
Illinois logo
Illinois
76—58
Rutgers logo
Rutgers
Illinois by 18 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATRutgers
30-66FG20-60
45.5%FG%33.3%
9-213PT6-13
42.9%3PT%46.2%
7-11FT12-20
63.6%FT%60.0%
55Rebounds27
19Offensive Rebounds9
12Assists9
17Turnovers10
3Steals9
4Blocks9
20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Illinois
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.Not Available388-134-73-3103020023
Marcus DomaskForward366-131-42-272010015
Luke GoodeForward233-72-51-23300009
Justin HarmonGuard193-61-10-04000007
Quincy GuerrierForward173-51-10-26010007
Coleman HawkinsGuard263-90-20-08110006
Ty RodgersG272-60-01-26311005
Dain DainjaForward82-60-00-04000004
Amani HansberryF60-10-10-01000000
Rutgers
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Aundre HyattForward273-111-42-21110009
Austin WilliamsGuard253-60-13-54310009
Gavin GriffithsG193-82-40-01000008
Clifford OmoruyiCenter293-100-01-49018007
Antwone WoolfolkF233-60-11-32111007
Derek SimpsonG221-61-14-42030007
Oskar PalmquistForward82-20-01-20010005
Noah FernandesGuard281-51-10-01210003
Jamichael DavisG191-61-10-03200003

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9
108.7Offensive Efficiency83.0
83.0Defensive Efficiency108.7
25.8Net Efficiency-25.8
52.3%Effective FG%38.3%
53.4%True Shooting %41.7%
24.6%Turnover Rate14.2%
16.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%
31.8%3-Point Rate21.7%
0.71Assist / Turnover0.90
Game Summary
Illinois won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.