Southern

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Southern

62.7%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -168

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern 80

Projected Total162.7

Projected ScoreMississippi State 83

Team Comparison

SouthernMetricMississippi State

44.5MMH Power Index44.6

108.7Offensive Efficiency107.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

2.3Net Efficiency-5.8

-7.5Strength of Schedule5.0

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

73.3Tempo72.3

51.3%Effective FG%51.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

40.3%Free Throw Rate30.9%

1.7Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.7–107.4), defensive efficiency (106.4–113.2), net efficiency (2.3–-5.8), recent form (2.0–-17.5).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (44.6–44.5), strength of schedule (5.0–-7.5), shooting efficiency (51.6–51.3).

Final

Southern

60—59

Mississippi State

Southern by 1 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SouthernTEAM STATMississippi State

21-49FG21-52

42.9%FG%40.4%

6-213PT7-26

28.6%3PT%26.9%

12-19FT10-16

63.2%FT%62.5%

32Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists17

17Turnovers17

10Steals12

2Blocks1

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	40	11-21	3-10	2-3	7	1	3	0	27
Brandon Davis	Guard	29	3-7	1-4	5-5	4	0	2	0	12
Jalen Reynolds	Forward	15	2-3	0-0	3-6	4	0	0	0	7
Jordan Johnson	G	25	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	1	1	1	6
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	34	2-8	0-1	1-3	5	4	4	1	5
JaRonn Wilkens	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Delang Muon	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Derrick Tezeno	Forward	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jordan Mitchell	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Antoine Jacks	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	26	4-12	3-9	3-3	1	2	1	0	14
Cameron Matthews	Forward	32	4-8	1-4	3-6	4	2	4	1	12
Dashawn Davis	Guard	24	4-10	1-2	0-1	3	3	3	0	9
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	24	3-8	0-4	1-1	0	3	0	0	7
Andrew Taylor	Guard	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	25	1-4	0-0	3-5	13	0	0	0	5
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	24	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Shakeel Moore	Guard	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	4	1	0	2
Gai Chol	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jaquan Scott	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

93.3Offensive Efficiency91.8

91.8Defensive Efficiency93.3

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

49.0%Effective FG%47.1%

51.7%True Shooting %49.5%

26.6%Turnover Rate26.3%

38.8%Free Throw Rate30.8%

42.9%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.41Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Southern won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.