North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%North Carolina

74.4%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -291

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 70

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreUConn 78

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricUConn

65.2MMH Power Index70.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency116.3

103.8Defensive Efficiency98.4

11.7Net Efficiency17.9

7.6Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

69.0Tempo66.2

54.6%Effective FG%55.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

38.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

8.1Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–65.2), offensive efficiency (116.3–115.5), defensive efficiency (98.4–103.8), net efficiency (17.9–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–6.3), ball security (13.9–16.4), free throw rate (38.1–30.7).

Final

North Carolina

76—87

UConn

UConn by 11 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATUConn

28-63FG34-66

44.4%FG%51.5%

7-203PT10-31

35.0%3PT%32.3%

13-22FT9-16

59.1%FT%56.3%

33Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists25

7Turnovers8

3Steals5

1Blocks4

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	38	8-17	4-8	6-6	4	1	1	0	26
Harrison Ingram	Forward	38	8-13	3-4	1-3	4	5	1	0	20
Armando Bacot	Forward	35	4-12	0-0	5-10	13	5	0	1	13
Elliot Cadeau	G	27	3-4	0-0	1-2	1	5	1	0	7
Cormac Ryan	Guard	24	3-10	0-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Seth Trimble	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jalen Washington	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Spencer	Guard	36	8-14	3-9	4-5	7	6	1	0	23
Alex Karaban	F	38	8-17	2-9	0-0	9	5	2	0	18
Tristen Newton	Guard	30	6-11	1-4	1-2	5	5	1	0	14
Solo Ball	G	29	5-8	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	13
Donovan Clingan	Center	20	3-7	0-0	2-5	4	2	0	2	8
Hassan Diarra	Guard	16	2-3	1-2	1-2	5	4	0	0	6
Stephon Castle	Guard	10	1-3	0-1	1-2	4	1	0	1	3
Samson Johnson	Center	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

107.6Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

50.0%Effective FG%59.1%

51.7%True Shooting %59.1%

9.9%Turnover Rate11.3%

34.9%Free Throw Rate24.2%

31.7%3-Point Rate47.0%

2.57Assist / Turnover3.13

Game Summary

UConn won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.