Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Wisconsin

75.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -300

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 74

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreMichigan State 82

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricMichigan State

64.5MMH Power Index69.8

118.6Offensive Efficiency117.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency101.5

9.8Net Efficiency15.5

6.7Strength of Schedule7.2

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.9Tempo67.3

54.6%Effective FG%54.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

32.5%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.8), net efficiency (15.5–9.8), strength of schedule (7.2–6.7).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–117.0), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.1), ball security (12.8–17.2).

Final

Wisconsin

70—57

Michigan State

Wisconsin by 13 • 57.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATMichigan State

23-51FG23-51

45.1%FG%45.1%

10-233PT6-19

43.5%3PT%31.6%

14-14FT5-7

100.0%FT%71.4%

36Rebounds22

11Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists15

11Turnovers8

5Steals5

2Blocks5

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Storr	G	29	8-11	4-6	2-2	5	0	1	0	22
Steve Crowl	Forward	31	6-12	4-4	2-2	6	5	0	0	18
John Blackwell	G	20	2-4	0-2	6-6	4	1	0	0	10
Tyler Wahl	Forward	22	3-7	0-0	2-2	8	2	0	1	8
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	34	2-7	1-4	0-0	5	8	0	1	5
Connor Essegian	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Max Klesmit	Guard	30	0-4	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Nolan Winter	F	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Carter Gilmore	Forward	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Markus Ilver	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kamari McGee	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	32	9-20	3-7	1-2	4	1	2	0	22
AJ Hoggard	Guard	31	5-10	2-5	2-2	4	7	1	0	14
Tre Holloman	G	20	2-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	13	2-4	0-0	1-1	0	1	0	0	5
Carson Cooper	C	30	1-1	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	1	3
Malik Hall	Forward	23	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	1	2
Jaden Akins	Guard	21	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Coen Carr	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Mady Sissoko	Center	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

57.5Possessions57.5

121.7Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency121.7

22.6Net Efficiency-22.6

54.9%Effective FG%51.0%

60.7%True Shooting %52.5%

19.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

27.5%Free Throw Rate13.7%

45.1%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 57.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.