San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%San Diego State

61.7%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -161

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 72

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 75

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricGrand Canyon

60.1MMH Power Index59.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

99.3Defensive Efficiency99.1

11.0Net Efficiency10.1

3.8Strength of Schedule2.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

70.8Tempo69.3

53.2%Effective FG%52.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.0%

7.8Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.8), offensive efficiency (110.3–109.2), net efficiency (11.0–10.1), strength of schedule (3.8–2.0).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–99.3), recent form (9.7–0.4), offensive rebounding (31.2–30.8).

Final

San Diego State

73—79

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 6 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATGrand Canyon

25-62FG24-50

40.3%FG%48.0%

8-253PT8-25

32.0%3PT%32.0%

15-24FT23-31

62.5%FT%74.2%

32Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists13

6Turnovers13

10Steals6

1Blocks5

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	35	9-16	2-3	4-6	10	0	1	0	24
Reese Waters	Guard	34	2-9	1-4	6-6	4	1	1	0	11
Darrion Trammell	Guard	20	3-7	1-4	4-4	1	1	1	0	11
Micah Parrish	Guard	31	3-10	3-7	1-4	3	1	4	0	10
Lamont Butler	Guard	28	3-6	0-2	0-4	1	6	1	0	6
Elijah Saunders	F	22	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Jay Pal	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Miles Byrd	G	9	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Miles Heide	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ray Harrison	Guard	34	6-11	2-6	9-10	8	1	1	0	23
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	36	5-15	2-8	6-9	5	5	2	2	18
Gabe McGlothan	Forward	37	4-7	1-3	6-6	13	2	1	1	15
Collin Moore	Guard	30	6-12	3-7	0-0	5	3	1	1	15
Duke Brennan	F	27	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	1	5
Sydney Curry	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	0	2
Isaiah Shaw	F	11	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Josh Baker	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lok Wur	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

108.8Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency108.8

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

46.8%Effective FG%56.0%

49.7%True Shooting %61.0%

9.0%Turnover Rate19.2%

38.7%Free Throw Rate62.0%

40.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.