Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.9%Tarleton State

89.1%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -817

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 71

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreBaylor 84

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricBaylor

44.6MMH Power Index58.9

103.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

101.6Defensive Efficiency109.5

1.6Net Efficiency7.2

-2.3Strength of Schedule4.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

72.2Tempo69.7

49.0%Effective FG%54.4%

19.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

42.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

1.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (116.7–103.2), net efficiency (7.2–1.6), strength of schedule (4.0–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–109.5), free throw rate (42.8–34.8).

Final

Tarleton State

41—104

Baylor

Baylor by 63 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATBaylor

15-39FG31-60

38.0%FG%52.0%

5-143PT15-32

36.0%3PT%47.0%

6-11FT27-36

55.0%FT%75.0%

18Rebounds41

2Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists22

28Turnovers12

3Steals15

3Blocks7

26Fouls10

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Martinez	G	30	3-5	3-4	2-2	2	0	0	1	11
Bubu Benjamin	G	31	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Ronnie Harrison	F	14	2-3	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	1	5
Izzy Miles	G	34	1-5	0-2	2-2	1	2	1	1	4
Jordan Mizell	G	30	2-6	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Nick Krass	G	32	1-5	1-2	0-0	4	4	0	0	3
Matt Krass	Guard	16	1-4	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Chris Mpaka	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	0	2
Roy Marom	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Celestine	G	22	6-9	4-7	4-4	1	0	1	2	20
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	24	4-9	1-4	8-11	5	2	4	3	17
Jeremy Roach	Guard	29	5-11	4-8	0-0	2	5	1	0	14
Robert Wright III	G	27	3-6	2-3	4-4	3	9	1	0	12
Jayden Nunn	Guard	24	4-7	3-5	0-1	4	3	2	0	11
Josh Ojianwuna	F	26	2-4	0-0	6-6	8	0	2	1	10
Jason Asemota	F	11	3-5	1-3	1-4	3	0	2	0	8
Norchad Omier	Forward	25	2-3	0-0	1-2	9	3	2	1	5
Omar Adegbola	G	4	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Marino Dubravcic	F	4	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	3
Davidson Hubbard	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

58.0Offensive Efficiency147.1

147.1Defensive Efficiency58.0

-89.1Net Efficiency89.1

44.9%Effective FG%64.2%

46.4%True Shooting %67.4%

39.9%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.2%Free Throw Rate60.0%

35.9%3-Point Rate53.3%

0.39Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Baylor won by 63 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.