Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%Little Rock

83.5%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -506

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 70

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricCentral Arkansas

44MMH Power Index54

103.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

108.2Defensive Efficiency105.2

-5.2Net Efficiency8.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-3.9

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

68.5Tempo71.0

50.3%Effective FG%54.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-3.6Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–44.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (105.2–108.2), net efficiency (8.7–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

Little Rock

71—75

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 4 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

25-65FG24-57

38.5%FG%42.1%

7-243PT7-19

29.2%3PT%36.8%

14-23FT20-22

60.9%FT%90.9%

47Rebounds32

22Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists14

12Turnovers8

3Steals8

4Blocks6

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	36	4-12	0-3	5-9	15	3	0	1	13
Cougar Downing	G	23	4-14	3-11	2-2	1	0	0	0	13
Bradley Douglas	G	36	4-13	2-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	29	2-8	0-0	5-8	5	5	0	3	9
Creed Williamson	F	15	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Pavle Kuzmanovic	Guard	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Sofield	Guard	29	6-13	4-7	2-2	2	3	1	2	18
Tucker Anderson	F	26	4-9	2-5	3-3	5	0	2	0	13
Masai Olowokere	Guard	28	4-7	1-4	1-1	4	2	1	0	10
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	29	2-5	0-0	3-4	8	0	2	3	7
Elias Cato	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	3	1	0	7
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	20	1-6	0-1	4-4	1	4	0	0	6
Javion Guy-King	G	20	1-2	0-0	4-4	2	2	0	0	6
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	10	3-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Ibbe Klintman	Guard	13	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Caleb Carr	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency106.4

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

43.8%Effective FG%48.2%

46.8%True Shooting %55.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate11.9%

35.4%Free Throw Rate38.6%

36.9%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.