Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.7%Gonzaga

21.3%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -369

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 80

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 72

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricSan Diego State

76.4MMH Power Index60.1

119.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

94.0Defensive Efficiency99.3

25.7Net Efficiency11.0

3.0Strength of Schedule3.8

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

70.4Tempo70.8

55.7%Effective FG%53.2%

13.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

31.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

18.1Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), defensive efficiency (94.0–99.3), net efficiency (25.7–11.0).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.8–3.0), free throw rate (39.6–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

80—67

San Diego State

Gonzaga by 13 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATSan Diego State

24-57FG23-61

42.0%FG%38.0%

5-203PT8-25

25.0%3PT%32.0%

27-31FT13-18

87.0%FT%72.0%

39Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists10

8Turnovers11

6Steals4

2Blocks9

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	20	7-9	0-0	9-11	9	0	1	0	23
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	37	5-12	1-5	8-8	4	10	0	0	19
Braden Huff	F	20	4-10	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Michael Ajayi	F	22	2-7	1-4	2-4	3	1	1	0	7
Ben Gregg	Forward	18	2-4	0-1	3-3	3	0	2	1	7
Nolan Hickman	Guard	33	2-8	0-3	2-2	6	2	0	1	6
Khalif Battle	Guard	20	1-5	0-2	3-3	2	0	1	0	5
Dusty Stromer	G	27	1-2	1-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	3
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	33	6-10	2-3	9-10	9	1	1	0	23
BJ Davis	G	21	6-9	2-4	1-2	1	0	1	0	15
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	24	4-12	2-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	11
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	30	3-7	1-5	1-2	1	3	0	0	8
Taj DeGourville	G	22	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	1	5
Pharaoh Compton	F	15	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Miles Heide	F	15	0-3	0-1	1-3	4	1	0	1	1
Miles Byrd	G	22	0-5	0-4	0-0	5	3	1	0	0
Magoon Gwath	F	14	0-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	5	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

115.6Offensive Efficiency96.8

96.8Defensive Efficiency115.6

18.8Net Efficiency-18.8

46.5%Effective FG%44.3%

55.8%True Shooting %48.2%

11.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

54.4%Free Throw Rate29.5%

35.1%3-Point Rate41.0%

1.75Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.