Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Alabama

71.5%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL168.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -251

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 81

Projected Total168.2

Projected ScorePurdue 87

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricPurdue

69.5MMH Power Index73.2

121.6Offensive Efficiency124.8

111.2Defensive Efficiency107.8

10.4Net Efficiency17.0

9.4Strength of Schedule7.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

74.7Tempo65.4

54.9%Effective FG%57.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.7%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate29.1%

7.7Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–69.5), offensive efficiency (124.8–121.6), defensive efficiency (107.8–111.2), net efficiency (17.0–10.4).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (9.4–7.6), ball security (13.0–13.7), free throw rate (36.9–29.1).

Final

Alabama

86—92

Purdue

Purdue by 6 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATPurdue

29-64FG30-62

45.3%FG%48.4%

19-463PT8-18

41.3%3PT%44.4%

9-14FT24-28

64.3%FT%85.7%

32Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds13

20Assists22

13Turnovers9

5Steals9

5Blocks2

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	34	13-25	8-16	1-1	4	1	1	0	35
Grant Nelson	Forward	27	4-9	2-7	1-2	7	5	1	0	11
Mohamed Wague	F	20	3-3	1-1	4-6	1	3	3	0	11
Latrell Wrightsell	G	24	3-6	3-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Rylan Griffen	G	28	2-5	2-5	2-2	7	5	0	1	8
Sam Walters	F	12	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Aaron Estrada	Guard	29	2-8	1-4	0-0	5	3	0	2	5
Jarin Stevenson	F	17	0-3	0-3	1-3	1	1	0	1	1
Nick Pringle	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	37	12-20	0-0	11-11	7	2	0	0	35
Braden Smith	G	36	9-20	4-7	5-6	5	8	1	0	27
Lance Jones	Guard	27	2-5	1-4	2-3	3	3	3	0	7
Myles Colvin	G	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Mason Gillis	Forward	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	5
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	10	1-2	1-1	2-4	1	1	0	0	5
Fletcher Loyer	G	21	0-5	0-3	4-4	3	1	2	0	4
Caleb Furst	Forward	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	2
Camden Heide	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

119.4Offensive Efficiency127.8

127.8Defensive Efficiency119.4

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

60.2%Effective FG%54.8%

60.9%True Shooting %61.1%

17.9%Turnover Rate12.6%

21.9%Free Throw Rate45.2%

71.9%3-Point Rate29.0%

1.54Assist / Turnover2.44

Game Summary

Purdue won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.