Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%Saint Mary's

23.2%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -331

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 76

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreColorado State 69

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricColorado State

70.7MMH Power Index55.4

116.7Offensive Efficiency117.1

97.4Defensive Efficiency109.9

19.3Net Efficiency7.2

3.0Strength of Schedule0.4

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

66.3Tempo64.7

53.1%Effective FG%58.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate41.2%

12.8Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (97.4–109.9), net efficiency (19.3–7.2), strength of schedule (3.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–116.7), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.1), free throw rate (41.2–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

64—61

Colorado State

Saint Mary's by 3 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATColorado State

25-51FG18-49

49.0%FG%36.7%

7-243PT5-18

29.2%3PT%27.8%

7-12FT20-23

58.3%FT%87.0%

33Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists12

13Turnovers11

7Steals6

4Blocks3

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	36	8-11	2-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	18
Joshua Jefferson	F	34	7-13	2-5	0-1	13	1	1	1	16
Aidan Mahaney	G	32	2-11	1-7	5-6	2	3	3	1	10
Mitchell Saxen	Center	35	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	1	7
Luke Barrett	Forward	22	2-5	1-4	1-3	2	2	1	0	6
Alex Ducas	Guard	24	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Harry Wessels	C	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Mason Forbes	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jordan Ross	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	37	6-16	1-3	7-8	4	3	3	0	20
Patrick Cartier	Forward	28	5-7	2-3	4-5	0	0	0	0	16
Nique Clifford	Guard	34	4-10	2-4	5-5	11	3	1	1	15
Joe Palmer	Guard	25	2-5	0-2	2-3	0	0	1	1	6
Joel Scott	Forward	26	0-4	0-2	2-2	5	1	0	0	2
Javonte Johnson	Guard	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tavi Jackson	G	19	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	1	0
Rashaan Mbemba	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

104.4Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency104.4

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

55.9%Effective FG%41.8%

56.4%True Shooting %50.9%

21.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

23.5%Free Throw Rate46.9%

47.1%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.