Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%Illinois

40.8%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -145

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 77

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreTennessee 75

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricTennessee

76.5MMH Power Index68.6

125.0Offensive Efficiency115.8

103.3Defensive Efficiency102.1

21.7Net Efficiency13.7

6.7Strength of Schedule7.8

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

66.5Tempo68.1

54.8%Effective FG%51.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

14.5Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–68.6), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.8), net efficiency (21.7–13.7), recent form (12.7–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–103.3), strength of schedule (7.8–6.7), offensive rebounding (44.5–39.3).

Final

Illinois

79—86

Tennessee

Tennessee by 7 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATTennessee

23-65FG27-60

35.4%FG%45.0%

9-363PT6-18

25.0%3PT%33.3%

24-28FT26-34

85.7%FT%76.5%

34Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists21

9Turnovers9

5Steals6

2Blocks3

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	37	5-16	1-6	11-11	4	1	0	1	22
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	33	7-14	3-8	5-7	5	0	0	0	22
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	36	4-13	3-10	1-2	4	4	2	0	12
Luke Goode	Forward	23	2-5	2-5	2-2	7	1	2	0	8
Marcus Domask	Forward	33	2-11	0-5	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Justin Harmon	Guard	12	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Ty Rodgers	G	21	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	2	1	0	3
Dain Dainja	Forward	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Knecht	Guard	28	7-14	2-5	5-7	4	1	1	1	21
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	31	6-12	0-1	2-4	7	1	1	2	14
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	34	3-10	0-2	6-8	6	7	1	0	12
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	30	4-7	2-5	2-3	9	3	2	0	12
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	30	2-5	1-2	6-6	0	4	1	0	11
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	15	2-2	0-0	5-6	4	3	0	0	9
Jordan Gainey	Guard	17	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Tobe Awaka	F	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

107.0Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency107.0

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

42.3%Effective FG%50.0%

50.4%True Shooting %56.5%

12.0%Turnover Rate12.5%

43.1%Free Throw Rate56.7%

55.4%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.