UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%UC Irvine

66.8%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -201

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 72

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricSan Diego State

58.4MMH Power Index60.1

106.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

95.0Defensive Efficiency99.3

11.9Net Efficiency11.0

-1.0Strength of Schedule3.8

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

72.3Tempo70.8

50.7%Effective FG%53.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

8.6Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–58.4), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.9), strength of schedule (3.8–-1.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–50.7).

UC Irvine COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.0–99.3), net efficiency (11.9–11.0), recent form (10.0–0.4).

Final

UC Irvine

62—63

San Diego State

San Diego State by 1 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATSan Diego State

23-57FG18-47

40.4%FG%38.3%

7-213PT8-20

33.3%3PT%40.0%

9-15FT19-22

60.0%FT%86.4%

34Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists11

12Turnovers13

6Steals6

1Blocks3

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Hohn	Guard	20	6-13	4-10	0-2	2	2	0	0	16
Derin Saran	G	22	6-10	1-3	1-1	6	0	4	0	14
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	27	5-11	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	10
Andre Henry	G	32	2-6	2-3	0-1	7	2	0	0	6
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	7	1-2	0-1	4-4	1	0	0	0	6
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	24	1-3	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	0	4
Carter Welling	F	18	1-4	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	1	3
Dean Keeler	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	2
Hayden Welling	F	14	0-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	1
Langston Redfield	G	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jay Pal	Forward	24	4-6	2-3	5-7	4	2	0	0	15
Micah Parrish	Guard	34	4-9	2-5	4-5	5	3	1	0	14
Reese Waters	Guard	35	3-7	1-1	4-4	12	1	1	0	11
Darrion Trammell	Guard	23	2-8	2-6	4-4	2	1	1	0	10
Elijah Saunders	F	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	7
Lamont Butler	Guard	25	1-7	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Miles Byrd	G	9	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	2	0	2
Miles Heide	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	3	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

94.2Offensive Efficiency95.7

95.7Defensive Efficiency94.2

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

46.5%Effective FG%46.8%

48.3%True Shooting %54.8%

18.1%Turnover Rate19.9%

26.3%Free Throw Rate46.8%

36.8%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.