Hofstra

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.7%Hofstra

95.3%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2028

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHofstra 62

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreDuke 82

Team Comparison

HofstraMetricDuke

59.3MMH Power Index81.7

114.0Offensive Efficiency122.2

100.9Defensive Efficiency95.2

13.1Net Efficiency27.0

-2.9Strength of Schedule7.8

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

66.2Tempo66.8

52.2%Effective FG%56.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

32.0%Free Throw Rate39.0%

8.7Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–59.3), offensive efficiency (122.2–114.0), defensive efficiency (95.2–100.9), net efficiency (27.0–13.1).

Final

Hofstra

68—89

Duke

Duke by 21 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HofstraTEAM STATDuke

25-50FG33-60

50.0%FG%55.0%

10-243PT11-22

41.7%3PT%50.0%

8-10FT12-14

80.0%FT%85.7%

23Rebounds32

2Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists22

14Turnovers10

3Steals6

6Blocks3

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darlinstone Dubar	Guard	37	8-13	7-11	1-2	8	0	1	2	24
Jaquan Carlos	Guard	37	3-8	0-3	4-4	3	9	0	0	10
Jacco Fritz	Forward	31	4-6	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	2	9
KiJan Robinson	G	3	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Khalil Farmer	G	26	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Bryce Washington	Guard	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Silas Sunday	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Griffin Barrouk	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	35	10-16	4-7	4-5	12	8	1	3	28
Jeremy Roach	Guard	37	7-11	3-5	2-2	3	8	2	0	19
Mark Mitchell	G	26	5-16	0-3	4-5	6	2	1	0	14
Jared McCain	Guard	33	5-8	3-4	0-0	4	0	2	0	13
Caleb Foster	G	28	4-6	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	25	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
TJ Power	F	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Sean Stewart	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Young	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Neal Begovich	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency131.3

131.3Defensive Efficiency100.3

-31.0Net Efficiency31.0

60.0%Effective FG%64.2%

62.1%True Shooting %66.8%

21.0%Turnover Rate14.6%

20.0%Free Throw Rate23.3%

48.0%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Duke won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.