Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Chicago State

93.5%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -18.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -1438

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 63

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 81

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricNorthwestern

36.1MMH Power Index55.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

114.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

-15.5Net Efficiency1.8

0.5Strength of Schedule5.6

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

66.2Tempo65.6

45.6%Effective FG%51.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate13.0%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-10.3Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–36.1), offensive efficiency (111.6–99.4), defensive efficiency (109.8–114.9), net efficiency (1.8–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (29.1–28.2).

Final

Chicago State

75—73

Northwestern

Chicago State by 2 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATNorthwestern

24-50FG26-53

48.0%FG%49.1%

8-233PT8-17

34.8%3PT%47.1%

19-22FT13-20

86.4%FT%65.0%

29Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists18

14Turnovers14

13Steals9

3Blocks4

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	37	13-21	3-9	1-2	4	4	2	0	30
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	39	4-15	2-6	7-8	6	3	2	0	17
Noble Crawford	Forward	34	2-3	1-2	4-4	8	1	2	1	9
Brent Davis	Guard	33	2-5	1-3	4-4	6	1	3	0	9
A.J. Neal Jr.	G	20	1-2	1-2	3-4	0	0	0	0	6
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	2	4
Kedrick Green	Guard	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	4	2	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	38	8-17	2-5	5-6	6	8	1	0	23
Ryan Langborg	Guard	40	6-9	5-6	1-2	1	4	1	0	18
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	39	5-9	0-1	3-6	6	1	3	1	13
Matthew Nicholson	Center	20	4-5	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	9
Luke Hunger	F	7	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	1	5
Ty Berry	Guard	34	1-7	1-5	0-0	3	4	2	0	3
Nick Martinelli	F	19	0-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	1	2
Jordan Clayton	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

111.9Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency111.9

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

56.0%Effective FG%56.6%

62.0%True Shooting %58.4%

21.1%Turnover Rate20.7%

44.0%Free Throw Rate37.7%

46.0%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.