Arizona

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Arizona

44.1%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -127

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona 79

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScorePurdue 78

Team Comparison

ArizonaMetricPurdue

79.9MMH Power Index73.2

120.3Offensive Efficiency124.8

96.9Defensive Efficiency107.8

23.4Net Efficiency17.0

8.0Strength of Schedule7.6

17.0Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

71.6Tempo65.4

55.0%Effective FG%57.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.7%

37.8%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate29.1%

16.8Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–73.2), defensive efficiency (96.9–107.8), net efficiency (23.4–17.0), strength of schedule (8.0–7.6).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (124.8–120.3), shooting efficiency (57.8–55.0), ball security (13.7–15.1).

Final

Arizona

84—92

Purdue

Purdue by 8 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArizonaTEAM STATPurdue

32-62FG35-65

51.6%FG%53.8%

6-163PT10-24

37.5%3PT%41.7%

14-16FT12-19

87.5%FT%63.2%

26Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds11

24Assists22

13Turnovers13

8Steals10

1Blocks3

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Love	Guard	37	9-19	4-9	7-7	6	3	2	1	29
Keshad Johnson	Forward	29	8-13	2-2	6-7	8	2	3	0	24
Oumar Ballo	Center	33	6-9	0-0	1-2	6	3	1	0	13
Pelle Larsson	Guard	35	5-7	0-0	0-0	2	6	0	0	10
Kylan Boswell	G	27	3-9	0-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Motiejus Krivas	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
KJ Lewis	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	5	0	0	0
Jaden Bradley	G	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fletcher Loyer	G	36	11-18	5-9	0-0	1	3	4	0	27
Braden Smith	G	36	9-15	4-7	4-4	4	2	3	0	26
Zach Edey	Center	36	8-15	0-0	6-9	9	5	2	1	22
Lance Jones	Guard	24	3-9	1-6	2-5	1	4	0	2	9
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
Mason Gillis	Forward	21	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	3	1	0	2
Caleb Furst	Forward	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	13	0-1	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	0
Camden Heide	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

109.4Offensive Efficiency119.8

119.8Defensive Efficiency109.4

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

56.5%Effective FG%61.5%

60.3%True Shooting %62.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

25.8%Free Throw Rate29.2%

25.8%3-Point Rate36.9%

1.85Assist / Turnover1.69

Game Summary

Purdue won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.