Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Baylor

84.9%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -562

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 71

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreMichigan State 83

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricMichigan State

58.9MMH Power Index69.8

116.7Offensive Efficiency117.0

109.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

7.2Net Efficiency15.5

4.0Strength of Schedule7.2

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.7Tempo67.3

54.4%Effective FG%54.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

5.1Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–58.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–116.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.5), net efficiency (15.5–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.4–54.1), ball security (16.4–17.2).

Final

Baylor

64—88

Michigan State

Michigan State by 24 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATMichigan State

23-48FG31-49

47.9%FG%63.3%

6-193PT8-12

31.6%3PT%66.7%

12-19FT18-28

63.2%FT%64.3%

20Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists18

21Turnovers15

8Steals15

—Blocks6

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
RayJ Dennis	Guard	34	5-9	1-3	0-1	1	7	1	11
Yves Missi	Center	19	5-6	0-0	1-4	3	0	1	11
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	33	3-9	0-1	3-3	2	2	1	9
Jayden Nunn	Guard	23	3-6	2-3	1-3	0	2	2	9
Josh Ojianwuna	F	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	6
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	3-4	0	1	0	6
Jalen Bridges	Forward	25	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	5
Miro Little	G	9	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	1	5
Caleb Lohner	Forward	10	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	2
Langston Love	G	18	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0
Austin Sacks	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	31	9-16	4-4	3-4	3	4	5	1	25
AJ Hoggard	Guard	24	5-10	0-1	4-5	2	5	3	0	14
Tre Holloman	G	18	4-5	2-3	1-2	2	1	2	1	11
Carson Cooper	C	13	3-3	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	1	8
Xavier Booker	C	8	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Coen Carr	F	19	2-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	2	1	6
Jaden Akins	Guard	25	2-6	1-3	0-1	4	0	1	1	5
Malik Hall	Forward	22	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	5
Mady Sissoko	Center	19	1-2	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	1	4
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	16	0-0	0-0	2-4	1	4	2	0	2
Davis Smith	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Steven Izzo	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

90.5Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency90.5

-33.9Net Efficiency33.9

54.2%Effective FG%71.4%

56.1%True Shooting %70.6%

29.2%Turnover Rate21.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate57.1%

39.6%3-Point Rate24.5%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.