NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.9%NC State

81.1%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -429

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 74

Projected Total156.8

Projected ScoreTennessee 83

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricTennessee

60.1MMH Power Index68.6

118.4Offensive Efficiency115.8

108.6Defensive Efficiency102.1

9.8Net Efficiency13.7

6.4Strength of Schedule7.8

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

70.2Tempo68.1

55.1%Effective FG%51.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

35.7%Free Throw Rate38.6%

6.9Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–60.1), defensive efficiency (102.1–108.6), net efficiency (13.7–9.8), strength of schedule (7.8–6.4).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–115.8), shooting efficiency (55.1–51.6), ball security (13.1–17.3).

Final

NC State

70—79

Tennessee

Tennessee by 9 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATTennessee

22-51FG27-62

43.1%FG%43.5%

8-183PT12-27

44.4%3PT%44.4%

18-25FT13-16

72.0%FT%81.3%

31Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists22

11Turnovers11

7Steals6

4Blocks2

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	37	6-12	4-7	0-0	4	2	3	0	16
DJ Burns	Forward	33	6-10	0-0	3-4	5	5	1	1	15
Jayden Taylor	Guard	36	2-9	1-4	6-6	4	2	0	0	11
Kam Woods	G	18	2-5	2-2	3-4	4	0	0	0	9
Casey Morsell	Guard	32	2-7	0-1	2-4	1	3	0	0	6
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	14	2-2	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	6
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	1-1	3	1	1	3	3
MJ Rice	Guard	13	1-5	0-3	0-2	3	0	1	0	2
Michael O'Connell	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	29	6-10	5-7	6-6	7	3	0	1	23
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	39	7-17	4-8	2-4	3	8	4	0	20
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	26	4-8	1-2	2-2	5	4	1	1	11
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	30	3-6	1-4	2-2	3	2	0	0	9
Tobe Awaka	F	18	2-4	0-0	1-2	12	3	0	0	5
Jordan Gainey	Guard	12	2-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	26	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Dalton Knecht	Guard	19	1-7	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
J.P. Estrella	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

106.4Offensive Efficiency120.1

120.1Defensive Efficiency106.4

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

51.0%Effective FG%53.2%

55.7%True Shooting %56.8%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.8%

49.0%Free Throw Rate25.8%

35.3%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.18Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.