Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.7%Colgate

97.3%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -23.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3604

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 65

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreIllinois 89

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricIllinois

48.8MMH Power Index76.5

111.7Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

2.7Net Efficiency21.7

-2.0Strength of Schedule6.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

68.4Tempo66.5

54.5%Effective FG%54.8%

14.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

30.0%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.8Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–48.8), offensive efficiency (125.0–111.7), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.0), net efficiency (21.7–2.7).

Final

Colgate

57—74

Illinois

Illinois by 17 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATIllinois

26-61FG23-55

42.6%FG%41.8%

3-153PT8-23

20.0%3PT%34.8%

2-6FT20-22

33.3%FT%90.9%

25Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists10

11Turnovers13

4Steals5

1Blocks6

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeff Woodward	Forward	24	7-9	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	14
Keegan Records	Forward	31	4-9	1-3	0-0	7	0	1	1	9
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	30	3-8	1-4	0-1	2	1	1	0	7
Sam Thomson	Forward	15	3-8	0-0	1-4	4	0	1	0	7
Brady Cummins	G	21	3-6	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Parker Jones	G	17	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Jalen Cox	G	15	1-5	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Chandler Baker	Guard	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Braeden Smith	G	27	1-7	0-3	0-0	0	4	1	0	2
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	16	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	30	6-14	2-6	2-2	7	1	2	1	16
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	27	4-6	2-2	5-6	7	0	1	0	15
Marcus Domask	Forward	23	4-10	1-4	6-6	0	0	1	0	15
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	38	4-10	2-6	4-4	3	1	0	5	14
Dain Dainja	Forward	14	2-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	0	5
Ty Rodgers	G	35	2-5	0-0	0-0	8	5	0	0	4
Luke Goode	Forward	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Justin Harmon	Guard	11	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

85.5Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency85.5

-25.5Net Efficiency25.5

45.1%Effective FG%49.1%

44.6%True Shooting %56.5%

16.2%Turnover Rate19.9%

9.8%Free Throw Rate40.0%

24.6%3-Point Rate41.8%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Illinois won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.