Oakland

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%Oakland

91.9%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -16.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1135

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOakland 71

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreMichigan State 88

Team Comparison

OaklandMetricMichigan State

52.6MMH Power Index69.8

115.7Offensive Efficiency117.0

114.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

1.2Net Efficiency15.5

2.1Strength of Schedule7.2

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

71.4Tempo67.3

53.3%Effective FG%54.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

38.5%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–52.6), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–114.5), net efficiency (15.5–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHball security (14.7–17.2), free throw rate (38.5–36.6).

Final

Oakland

62—79

Michigan State

Michigan State by 17 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OaklandTEAM STATMichigan State

23-63FG29-59

36.5%FG%49.2%

9-293PT9-21

31.0%3PT%42.9%

7-10FT12-16

70.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists23

8Turnovers8

5Steals5

2Blocks5

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Townsend	Forward	38	6-14	1-2	4-6	4	0	1	0	17
Rocket Watts	Guard	24	7-10	2-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	16
Blake Lampman	Guard	33	4-14	4-10	0-0	5	5	2	0	12
Chris Conway	Forward	28	4-8	0-0	0-0	6	3	0	1	8
DQ Cole	Guard	14	1-3	1-3	2-2	1	3	0	1	5
Jack Gohlke	Guard	31	1-10	1-10	1-2	1	0	1	0	4
Isaiah Jones	F	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	13	0-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
Cooper Craggs	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Osei Price	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	32	5-12	2-6	2-2	2	5	1	0	14
Jaden Akins	Guard	28	4-9	3-7	0-0	3	2	0	2	11
AJ Hoggard	Guard	22	5-8	1-1	0-0	4	7	1	1	11
Tre Holloman	G	19	3-9	2-5	0-0	1	4	0	0	8
Mady Sissoko	Center	19	3-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	0	7
Carson Cooper	C	18	3-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	1	1	7
Coen Carr	F	15	2-4	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	0	7
Malik Hall	Forward	21	1-7	0-1	3-4	1	1	0	0	5
Xavier Booker	C	7	1-2	1-1	2-2	1	0	1	1	5
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Davis Smith	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

103.0Offensive Efficiency131.2

131.2Defensive Efficiency103.0

-28.2Net Efficiency28.2

43.7%Effective FG%56.8%

45.8%True Shooting %59.3%

13.4%Turnover Rate13.2%

15.9%Free Throw Rate27.1%

46.0%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.88

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.