Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.7%Murray State

36.3%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -175

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 80

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 77

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricLittle Rock

53.6MMH Power Index44

115.0Offensive Efficiency103.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

4.0Net Efficiency-5.2

3.5Strength of Schedule0.5

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

72.3Tempo68.5

54.0%Effective FG%50.3%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate28.6%

2.9Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–103.0), net efficiency (4.0–-5.2), strength of schedule (3.5–0.5).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–111.0), recent form (-0.7–-9.5).

Final

Murray State

66—80

Little Rock

Little Rock by 14 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

24-66FG29-55

36.4%FG%52.7%

6-243PT8-22

25.0%3PT%36.4%

12-18FT14-19

66.7%FT%73.7%

30Rebounds45

11Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists17

7Turnovers20

8Steals3

6Blocks7

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Ellington	F	31	7-11	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	5	17
Brian Moore Jr.	G	30	6-12	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Rob Perry	Guard	28	4-12	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	12
Alden Applewhite	F	28	2-11	2-8	3-6	5	3	4	0	9
Quincy Anderson	Guard	25	4-10	1-5	0-0	5	0	1	1	9
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	0-6	0-3	4-4	5	8	2	0	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Malek Abdelgowad	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KK Robinson	G	31	5-11	1-4	5-6	14	3	0	1	16
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	32	6-9	0-2	3-3	7	0	0	1	15
Bradley Douglas	G	32	5-10	4-7	0-0	3	5	1	0	14
Cougar Downing	G	19	4-6	2-4	2-3	0	0	0	0	12
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	21	4-8	0-1	1-2	6	2	1	1	9
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	8	2-2	1-1	3-4	0	1	0	0	8
Creed Williamson	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	3	0	0	2
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

91.3Offensive Efficiency110.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency91.3

-19.4Net Efficiency19.4

40.9%Effective FG%60.0%

44.3%True Shooting %62.5%

9.9%Turnover Rate27.0%

27.3%Free Throw Rate34.5%

36.4%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.86Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.