Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.6%Jacksonville State

44.4%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -125

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 73

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreTarleton State 73

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricTarleton State

51.2MMH Power Index44.6

108.2Offensive Efficiency103.2

101.8Defensive Efficiency101.6

6.4Net Efficiency1.6

-2.3Strength of Schedule-2.3

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

67.2Tempo72.2

51.0%Effective FG%49.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.9%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

44.5%Free Throw Rate42.8%

4.3Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (108.2–103.2), net efficiency (6.4–1.6), recent form (-0.3–-6.7).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–101.8), offensive rebounding (31.8–31.3).

Final

Jacksonville State

65—62

Tarleton State

Jacksonville State by 3 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATTarleton State

23-55FG24-60

41.8%FG%40.0%

4-163PT7-20

25.0%3PT%35.0%

15-20FT7-9

75.0%FT%77.8%

42Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists14

13Turnovers8

5Steals10

6Blocks1

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KyKy Tandy	Guard	25	5-12	2-5	4-4	2	0	0	0	16
Andres Burney	F	20	6-9	0-0	1-3	5	1	1	0	13
Juwan Perdue	Forward	32	3-6	1-1	2-2	6	2	0	0	9
Caleb Johnson	F	27	3-8	0-3	2-2	7	1	3	2	8
Mason Nicholson	C	19	3-3	0-0	2-5	8	0	0	2	8
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	20	1-6	1-3	4-4	4	0	0	0	7
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	22	1-7	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Quincy Clark	Guard	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	1	2
Travis Roberts	SG	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matt Mayers	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Barnes	G	37	8-16	4-7	0-0	1	2	2	0	20
Lue Williams	Guard	38	6-13	1-3	2-2	6	1	2	0	15
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	24	4-7	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	8
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	38	2-9	0-2	2-2	9	4	4	0	6
Jakorie Smith	Forward	35	2-12	2-8	0-0	5	4	0	0	6
Traivar Jackson	F	22	2-2	0-0	1-1	3	2	2	0	5
Izzy Miles	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Bubu Benjamin	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Thomas	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

101.7Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency101.7

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

45.5%Effective FG%45.8%

50.4%True Shooting %48.2%

20.5%Turnover Rate12.4%

36.4%Free Throw Rate15.0%

29.1%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.