UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%UC San Diego

34.3%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -192

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 80

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreSacramento State 75

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricSacramento State

53.4MMH Power Index43

108.4Offensive Efficiency106.1

100.7Defensive Efficiency112.0

7.7Net Efficiency-5.9

-1.3Strength of Schedule0.9

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

69.8Tempo73.2

53.1%Effective FG%48.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.2%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

33.2%Free Throw Rate41.8%

5.4Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (108.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (100.7–112.0), net efficiency (7.7–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-1.3), ball security (14.2–16.4), free throw rate (41.8–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

83—52

Sacramento State

UC San Diego by 31 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATSacramento State

29-68FG18-46

42.6%FG%39.1%

15-363PT4-19

41.7%3PT%21.1%

10-12FT12-15

83.3%FT%80.0%

35Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds7

19Assists12

5Turnovers21

11Steals1

2Blocks8

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler McGhie	Guard	26	7-14	6-13	2-2	0	1	2	0	22
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	31	4-7	4-6	0-0	5	2	1	1	12
Bryce Pope	Guard	30	4-11	1-5	2-2	0	5	2	0	11
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	16	4-7	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	9
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	17	3-8	0-0	2-4	4	1	1	0	8
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	27	3-5	1-2	0-0	8	4	2	0	7
Hayden Gray	Guard	25	2-4	1-2	2-2	3	4	1	0	7
Quin Patterson	F	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Camden McCormick	Guard	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Michael Pearson Jr.	Guard	6	0-4	0-3	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Justin DeGraaf	Forward	4	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Aidan Burke	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Pendleton	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	28	3-5	1-1	3-4	7	3	0	2	10
Jacob Holt	Forward	18	3-6	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	1	9
Austin Patterson	Guard	32	2-4	1-3	3-3	5	2	0	0	8
Alex Kovatchev	G	24	3-8	1-5	0-0	6	1	0	1	7
Zee Hamoda	G	19	3-8	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	2	7
Akol Mawein	Forward	21	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	2	0	0	4
Emil Skytt	G	18	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	4	0	0	3
Bowyn Beatty	F	14	1-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	2	2
Brandon Betson	Guard	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bailey Nunn	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Wilson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

124.1Offensive Efficiency77.7

77.7Defensive Efficiency124.1

46.3Net Efficiency-46.3

53.7%Effective FG%43.5%

56.3%True Shooting %48.9%

7.5%Turnover Rate31.3%

17.6%Free Throw Rate32.6%

52.9%3-Point Rate41.3%

3.80Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.