Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Portland State

54.1%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -118

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 73

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreFresno State 74

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricFresno State

50.2MMH Power Index47.1

109.3Offensive Efficiency104.9

100.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

9.1Net Efficiency0.0

-5.6Strength of Schedule1.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

70.1Tempo69.4

51.7%Effective FG%51.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate18.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.5%

6.4Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–47.1), offensive efficiency (109.3–104.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), net efficiency (9.1–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-5.6).

Final

Portland State

75—72

Fresno State

Portland State by 3 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATFresno State

26-67FG26-57

39.0%FG%46.0%

9-253PT5-17

36.0%3PT%29.0%

14-22FT15-24

64.0%FT%63.0%

45Rebounds38

18Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists11

14Turnovers13

7Steals7

3Blocks6

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Allen	Forward	23	4-10	3-3	4-4	8	1	0	1	15
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	40	5-12	3-6	0-1	7	0	1	0	13
Bobby Harvey	Guard	34	4-12	3-9	2-3	3	1	1	0	13
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	22	5-8	0-1	2-5	5	0	1	1	12
Kendall Munson	Forward	27	2-5	0-0	2-4	7	0	1	0	6
Isiah Kirby	Guard	16	3-6	0-1	0-0	1	3	2	0	6
Ismail Habib	G	34	1-9	0-4	2-2	3	8	1	0	4
Hunter Woods	Forward	11	1-3	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	9	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	3
Hayden Curtiss	Center	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Pope	Guard	29	3-9	1-5	7-10	3	0	1	0	14
Enoch Boakye	Forward	22	5-6	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	4	12
Isaiah Hill	Guard	42	4-14	1-5	1-3	5	8	1	1	10
Xavier DuSell	Guard	33	3-5	3-5	1-2	3	0	1	0	10
Donavan Yap	Guard	34	3-8	0-2	2-2	0	1	1	1	8
Eduardo Andre	Center	32	4-7	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	0	8
Isaac Taveras	G	16	3-6	0-0	2-5	3	0	2	0	8
Leo Colimerio	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jalen Weaver	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

102.7Offensive Efficiency98.6

98.6Defensive Efficiency102.7

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

45.5%Effective FG%50.0%

48.4%True Shooting %52.6%

19.1%Turnover Rate18.0%

32.8%Free Throw Rate42.1%

37.3%3-Point Rate29.8%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Portland State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.