Marquette

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%Marquette

67.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -206

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarquette 79

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Team Comparison

MarquetteMetricProvidence

52.3MMH Power Index54.2

106.0Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

-0.9Net Efficiency1.8

4.2Strength of Schedule4.0

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

70.9Tempo74.2

50.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-0.6Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–50.5).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–113.2), strength of schedule (4.2–4.0), recent form (3.5–-1.3).

Final

Marquette

57—72

Providence

Providence by 15 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarquetteTEAM STATProvidence

18-56FG22-51

32.1%FG%43.1%

4-203PT11-32

20.0%3PT%34.4%

17-21FT17-28

81.0%FT%60.7%

35Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists17

14Turnovers14

7Steals5

2Blocks1

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Kolek	Guard	36	7-15	2-5	5-5	9	5	0	0	21
Kam Jones	Guard	36	5-14	1-6	2-3	3	0	2	0	13
Oso Ighodaro	Center	36	2-6	0-0	7-8	8	1	0	0	11
David Joplin	Forward	23	2-6	0-2	1-2	3	0	1	1	5
Sean Jones	G	14	1-6	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Tre Norman	G	12	1-2	0-1	1-1	3	0	1	0	3
Chase Ross	G	27	0-7	0-3	1-2	4	0	2	1	1
Ben Gold	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Zaide Lowery	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	35	6-10	5-9	5-7	8	4	1	0	22
Ticket Gaines	Guard	32	5-11	5-10	3-5	1	0	1	0	18
Bryce Hopkins	F	35	3-10	0-4	5-10	9	1	1	1	11
Josh Oduro	Forward	26	3-4	0-0	4-6	9	1	0	0	10
Jayden Pierre	G	24	2-5	0-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	4
Rich Barron	F	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Rafael Castro	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Garwey Dual	G	23	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	7	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

78.9Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency78.9

-20.8Net Efficiency20.8

35.7%Effective FG%53.9%

43.2%True Shooting %56.0%

19.5%Turnover Rate19.4%

37.5%Free Throw Rate54.9%

35.7%3-Point Rate62.7%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Providence won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.