Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%Cincinnati

41.6%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -140

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 77

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 76

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricNorthern Kentucky

61.5MMH Power Index53.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency114.9

97.3Defensive Efficiency107.1

8.0Net Efficiency7.8

5.1Strength of Schedule-2.9

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

69.4Tempo72.3

50.6%Effective FG%54.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.1%

5.5Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.9–105.3), shooting efficiency (54.5–50.6), ball security (16.3–17.0), offensive rebounding (33.0–30.6).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–53.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–107.1), net efficiency (8.0–7.8).

Final

Cincinnati

76—60

Northern Kentucky

Cincinnati by 16 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

31-58FG26-61

53.0%FG%43.0%

11-223PT4-14

50.0%3PT%29.0%

3-6FT4-8

50.0%FT%50.0%

27Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds15

19Assists9

10Turnovers15

10Steals6

6Blocks—

10Fouls10

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Simas Lukosius	Guard	31	6-9	6-9	0-0	3	3	0	0	18
Dillon Mitchell	F	30	6-9	0-1	0-0	6	3	4	0	12
Jizzle James	G	26	5-12	1-2	0-0	2	6	3	1	11
Connor Hickman	G	27	4-7	2-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	10
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	25	3-5	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	3	8
Arrinten Page	F	15	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	8
Tyler Betsey	F	18	2-4	2-4	1-4	4	0	0	0	7
Day Day Thomas	G	14	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	4	0	1	2
Josh Reed	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sam Vinson	Guard	36	7-17	1-3	1-2	4	2	0	16
Trey Robinson	Guard	31	5-10	0-0	2-2	8	4	0	12
Keeyan Itejere	F	29	4-7	0-0	0-0	8	1	2	8
Josh Dilling	Guard	23	3-5	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	8
Randall Pettus II	G	25	2-9	1-5	0-0	0	0	2	5
Dan Gherezgher	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	5
LJ Wells	F	22	2-5	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	4
Paulius Rapolis	Forward	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

117.1Offensive Efficiency92.4

92.4Defensive Efficiency117.1

24.7Net Efficiency-24.7

62.9%Effective FG%45.9%

62.4%True Shooting %46.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate23.1%

10.3%Free Throw Rate13.1%

37.9%3-Point Rate23.0%

1.90Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.