Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.9%Alabama

84.1%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL170.2

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -529

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 79

Projected Total170.2

Projected ScoreArizona 91

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricArizona

69.5MMH Power Index79.9

121.6Offensive Efficiency120.3

111.2Defensive Efficiency96.9

10.4Net Efficiency23.4

9.4Strength of Schedule8.0

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

74.7Tempo71.6

54.9%Effective FG%55.0%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

36.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%

7.7Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–69.5), defensive efficiency (96.9–111.2), net efficiency (23.4–10.4), recent form (17.0–9.5).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (121.6–120.3), strength of schedule (9.4–8.0), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Alabama

74—87

Arizona

Arizona by 13 • 80.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATArizona

22-65FG28-65

33.8%FG%43.1%

8-403PT4-17

20.0%3PT%23.5%

22-26FT27-37

84.6%FT%73.0%

38Rebounds48

15Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists14

18Turnovers14

10Steals13

3Blocks3

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Grant Nelson	Forward	30	5-19	3-15	4-4	5	2	1	0	17
Sam Walters	F	20	3-6	3-5	6-8	2	0	0	0	15
Mark Sears	Guard	36	2-7	1-5	7-8	6	3	6	1	12
Aaron Estrada	Guard	28	4-10	1-4	2-2	1	6	1	0	11
Nick Pringle	F	14	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Mohamed Wague	F	18	1-3	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	2	5
Rylan Griffen	G	28	2-6	0-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	4
Latrell Wrightsell	G	16	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Jarin Stevenson	F	10	1-6	0-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Pelle Larsson	Guard	38	6-12	1-3	3-4	6	2	3	2	16
Oumar Ballo	Center	31	5-11	0-0	6-10	12	0	0	1	16
Kylan Boswell	G	33	6-14	2-6	1-2	4	4	5	0	15
Caleb Love	Guard	25	3-11	0-4	7-7	7	0	0	0	13
Keshad Johnson	Forward	28	2-5	1-2	6-8	6	2	1	0	11
KJ Lewis	G	22	3-5	0-2	3-4	4	4	3	0	9
Jaden Bradley	G	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Motiejus Krivas	C	6	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

80.0Possessions80.0

92.5Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency92.5

-16.2Net Efficiency16.3

40.0%Effective FG%46.2%

47.8%True Shooting %52.7%

22.4%Turnover Rate17.6%

40.0%Free Throw Rate56.9%

61.5%3-Point Rate26.2%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arizona won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 80.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.