Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.5%Baylor

95.5%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -20.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2122

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 67

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricDuke

58.9MMH Power Index81.7

116.7Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.5Defensive Efficiency95.2

7.2Net Efficiency27.0

4.0Strength of Schedule7.8

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.7Tempo66.8

54.4%Effective FG%56.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.8%Free Throw Rate39.0%

5.1Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–58.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–116.7), defensive efficiency (95.2–109.5), net efficiency (27.0–7.2).

Final

Baylor

70—78

Duke

Duke by 8 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATDuke

25-58FG25-51

43.1%FG%49.0%

8-183PT4-12

44.4%3PT%33.3%

12-16FT24-29

75.0%FT%82.8%

30Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists14

13Turnovers8

3Steals7

7Blocks—

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RayJ Dennis	Guard	32	7-16	1-3	2-6	7	4	0	0	17
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	31	5-11	3-6	2-2	4	1	1	0	15
Yves Missi	Center	26	4-7	0-0	3-3	10	0	1	5	11
Jalen Bridges	Forward	31	4-6	2-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	10
Langston Love	G	24	3-7	1-1	1-1	3	2	1	1	8
Jayden Nunn	Guard	25	0-5	0-2	4-4	0	2	0	1	4
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Caleb Lohner	Forward	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Ojianwuna	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jared McCain	Guard	36	7-11	3-6	4-4	2	3	0	21
Jeremy Roach	Guard	40	5-9	1-2	7-8	3	3	2	18
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	32	5-14	0-2	3-5	10	4	3	13
Caleb Foster	G	34	4-9	0-0	4-4	5	2	1	12
Mark Mitchell	G	37	3-6	0-2	4-6	3	1	1	10
Ryan Young	Center	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	4
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
TJ Power	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

105.7Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency105.7

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

50.0%Effective FG%52.9%

53.4%True Shooting %60.2%

19.2%Turnover Rate12.4%

27.6%Free Throw Rate56.9%

31.0%3-Point Rate23.5%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Duke won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.