Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%Villanova

38.4%Creighton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -160

Creighton

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 77

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreCreighton 74

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricCreighton

59.4MMH Power Index50.6

114.7Offensive Efficiency109.0

105.9Defensive Efficiency109.5

8.8Net Efficiency-0.5

4.4Strength of Schedule5.1

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.3Tempo68.9

53.9%Effective FG%53.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

31.4%Free Throw Rate29.0%

5.9Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–50.6), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.5), net efficiency (8.8–-0.5).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.4).

Final

Villanova

68—66

Creighton

Villanova by 2 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATCreighton

27-66FG23-58

41.0%FG%40.0%

7-223PT5-24

32.0%3PT%21.0%

7-10FT15-21

70.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds47

5Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists10

8Turnovers16

10Steals5

2Blocks6

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	37	12-21	4-10	4-4	6	1	1	1	32
Hakim Hart	Guard	33	5-10	0-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	10
Jordan Longino	Guard	37	3-11	0-2	2-2	4	4	4	1	8
Mark Armstrong	Guard	27	3-9	1-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	7
Tyler Burton	Forward	40	2-4	1-2	1-3	12	0	2	0	6
Brendan Hausen	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Nnanna Njoku	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
TJ Bamba	Guard	25	0-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baylor Scheierman	Forward	44	5-17	0-7	6-9	11	1	1	0	16
Trey Alexander	Guard	43	6-15	0-2	4-4	15	3	1	1	16
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	41	6-9	0-1	2-3	8	0	1	3	14
Steven Ashworth	Guard	30	2-8	2-7	3-3	4	3	0	0	9
Mason Miller	F	23	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Isaac Traudt	F	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Francisco Farabello	Guard	21	1-3	0-1	0-2	3	1	1	1	2
Fredrick King	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

92.0Offensive Efficiency89.3

89.3Defensive Efficiency92.0

2.7Net Efficiency-2.7

46.2%Effective FG%44.0%

48.1%True Shooting %48.5%

10.8%Turnover Rate21.6%

15.2%Free Throw Rate36.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate41.4%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Villanova won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.