Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.0%Texas State

97.0%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -22.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.4

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -3233

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 60

Projected Total142.4

Projected ScoreHouston 83

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricHouston

49.4MMH Power Index76

107.7Offensive Efficiency118.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency95.9

4.3Net Efficiency22.5

-4.7Strength of Schedule5.9

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

68.6Tempo65.2

51.3%Effective FG%52.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.9%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate26.9%

2.9Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–49.4), offensive efficiency (118.4–107.7), defensive efficiency (95.9–103.4), net efficiency (22.5–4.3).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.0–26.9).

Final

Texas State

37—72

Houston

Houston by 35 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATHouston

13-45FG26-60

28.9%FG%43.3%

2-153PT4-19

13.3%3PT%21.1%

9-17FT16-23

52.9%FT%69.6%

39Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists9

27Turnovers12

6Steals14

3Blocks8

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Gumbs	G	31	2-7	0-1	3-4	2	2	0	0	7
Jordan Mason	G	29	3-7	0-1	0-2	2	1	2	1	6
Brandon Love	Forward	32	1-5	0-0	3-4	5	0	2	0	5
Dontae Horne	G	11	1-3	1-3	2-4	0	1	1	0	5
Christian Turner	Forward	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	0	4
Dylan Dawson	Guard	26	1-8	1-6	1-3	3	2	0	0	4
Chris Nix	Forward	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	2	4
Elijah Tate	Guard	12	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Coleton Benson	G	10	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Joshua O'Garro	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Emanuel Sharp	G	28	2-10	2-9	11-11	3	1	4	0	17
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	22	5-5	0-0	3-7	5	0	1	2	13
Jamal Shead	Not Available	27	5-10	1-2	0-0	4	2	2	2	11
L.J. Cryer	Guard	31	4-12	1-5	0-1	2	3	1	0	9
Mylik Wilson	Guard	17	4-6	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	8
Damian Dunn	Not Available	22	2-4	0-0	2-4	3	0	2	0	6
Ramon Walker Jr.	G	20	2-6	0-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
Joseph Tugler	F	19	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2	4
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	1	0
Cedric Lath	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

53.6Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency53.6

-50.7Net Efficiency50.7

31.1%Effective FG%46.7%

34.9%True Shooting %50.8%

39.7%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.30Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Houston won by 35 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.