Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Kentucky

70.4%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -238

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 76

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreLouisville 83

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricLouisville

63.9MMH Power Index67.1

115.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

106.3Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.9Net Efficiency16.4

8.7Strength of Schedule6.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.9Tempo71.0

53.2%Effective FG%56.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

38.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

6.2Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–63.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.3), net efficiency (16.4–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–6.0), ball security (15.4–16.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–32.3).

Final

Kentucky

95—76

Louisville

Kentucky by 19 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATLouisville

35-68FG25-59

51.5%FG%42.4%

12-253PT4-17

48.0%3PT%23.5%

13-16FT22-31

81.3%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds12

19Assists14

13Turnovers13

9Steals6

8Blocks2

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antonio Reeves	Guard	30	10-16	4-5	6-7	1	2	2	0	30
Tre Mitchell	Center	30	7-13	4-7	0-0	12	1	2	3	18
Justin Edwards	Forward	24	6-10	1-3	0-0	7	1	2	0	13
Rob Dillingham	Guard	21	5-9	0-2	2-3	2	2	1	1	12
Reed Sheppard	Guard	27	3-6	2-3	3-4	4	11	2	0	11
Adou Thiero	Forward	13	2-4	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	1	7
Aaron Bradshaw	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
DJ Wagner	G	18	1-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Ugonna Onyenso	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Jordan Burks	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Brennan Canada	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Walker Horn	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grant Darbyshire	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joey Hart	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kareem Watkins	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	36	6-11	2-5	6-11	1	5	1	0	20
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	34	8-8	0-0	0-0	11	0	1	0	16
Mike James	G	34	2-11	1-4	7-8	6	2	2	0	12
Tre White	G	26	4-8	1-2	2-3	2	2	0	1	11
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	22	2-8	0-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Emmanuel Okorafor	F	6	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	5
Danilo Jovanovich	F	6	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	22	0-6	0-2	2-2	0	4	1	0	2
Hercy Miller	G	1	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Kaleb Glenn	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zan Payne	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

124.7Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency124.7

24.9Net Efficiency-24.9

60.3%Effective FG%45.8%

62.8%True Shooting %51.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.4%

23.5%Free Throw Rate52.5%

36.8%3-Point Rate28.8%

1.46Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.