Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Missouri

93.5%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1438

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 69

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreIllinois 87

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricIllinois

57.2MMH Power Index76.5

115.1Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.7Defensive Efficiency103.3

5.4Net Efficiency21.7

5.0Strength of Schedule6.7

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

68.8Tempo66.5

55.2%Effective FG%54.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

43.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

3.8Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–57.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.7), net efficiency (21.7–5.4).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–54.8), free throw rate (43.1–33.8).

Final

Missouri

73—97

Illinois

Illinois by 24 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATIllinois

29-74FG32-65

39.2%FG%49.2%

6-273PT11-33

22.2%3PT%33.3%

9-16FT22-31

56.3%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds51

12Offensive Rebounds16

6Assists17

7Turnovers10

8Steals5

4Blocks4

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean East II	Guard	32	8-17	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	18
Trent Pierce	G	20	5-9	1-4	1-2	4	0	2	1	12
Tamar Bates	Guard	30	3-7	0-1	4-4	3	0	2	0	10
Noah Carter	Forward	19	4-11	0-4	0-2	5	1	0	0	8
Curt Lewis	G	15	3-6	1-2	1-2	2	0	1	0	8
Anthony Robinson II	G	15	1-5	0-0	3-4	6	2	1	0	5
Nick Honor	Guard	27	2-8	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Jesus Carralero Martin	Forward	10	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jordan Butler	F	9	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Aidan Shaw	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	1	2	1	2
Connor Vanover	Center	6	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Mabor Majak	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	34	9-14	2-6	10-16	11	4	2	2	30
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	31	8-15	5-8	7-7	8	0	1	0	28
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	29	5-10	3-5	2-4	7	3	2	1	15
Marcus Domask	Forward	35	4-12	0-7	2-2	7	7	0	0	10
Luke Goode	Forward	14	2-5	1-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Ty Rodgers	G	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	1	4
Amani Hansberry	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
AJ Redd	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Justin Harmon	Guard	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dain Dainja	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

97.1Offensive Efficiency129.0

129.0Defensive Efficiency97.1

-31.9Net Efficiency31.9

43.2%Effective FG%57.7%

44.7%True Shooting %60.8%

9.1%Turnover Rate13.6%

21.6%Free Throw Rate47.7%

36.5%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Illinois won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.