St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%St. John's

62.2%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -165

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 72

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreUConn 76

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricUConn

70.3MMH Power Index70.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.3

97.6Defensive Efficiency98.4

16.8Net Efficiency17.9

5.5Strength of Schedule6.3

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

70.9Tempo66.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

41.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

11.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–70.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.4), recent form (11.4–9.4), ball security (14.3–16.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.3–114.4), net efficiency (17.9–16.8), strength of schedule (6.3–5.5).

Final

St. John's

65—69

UConn

UConn by 4 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATUConn

20-52FG24-56

38.5%FG%42.9%

4-183PT5-18

22.2%3PT%27.8%

21-28FT16-24

75.0%FT%66.7%

34Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists15

6Turnovers8

6Steals5

5Blocks1

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Soriano	Center	29	4-5	0-0	6-7	11	0	0	3	14
Daniss Jenkins	Guard	37	4-13	1-6	4-4	2	4	1	0	13
Jordan Dingle	Guard	22	3-8	1-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	9
Chris Ledlum	Guard	33	3-8	1-3	1-4	8	2	2	0	8
Glenn Taylor Jr.	Forward	21	2-4	1-1	2-2	1	0	1	1	7
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	18	2-5	0-0	2-4	3	0	2	0	6
Zuby Ejiofor	F	11	0-1	0-0	4-5	4	2	0	1	4
Nahiem Alleyne	Guard	24	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Drissa Traore	F	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samson Johnson	Center	30	7-10	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	1	16
Tristen Newton	Guard	38	4-14	1-6	6-9	9	6	0	0	15
Cam Spencer	Guard	36	5-9	2-4	3-4	5	2	1	0	15
Alex Karaban	F	30	3-8	1-4	2-2	3	2	1	0	9
Stephon Castle	Guard	26	3-10	0-1	2-3	7	2	0	0	8
Solo Ball	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-2	0	1	2	0	3
Youssouf Singar	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Hassan Diarra	Guard	20	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

104.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency104.2

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

42.3%Effective FG%47.3%

49.8%True Shooting %51.2%

9.8%Turnover Rate12.6%

53.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

34.6%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

UConn won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.