Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%Illinois

43.3%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL167.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -131

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Projected Total167.9

Projected ScoreAlabama 83

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricAlabama

76.5MMH Power Index69.5

125.0Offensive Efficiency121.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency111.2

21.7Net Efficiency10.4

6.7Strength of Schedule9.4

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.5Tempo74.7

54.8%Effective FG%54.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

14.5Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–69.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–121.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–111.2), net efficiency (21.7–10.4).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (9.4–6.7), shooting efficiency (54.9–54.8), ball security (13.0–13.1).

Final

Illinois

87—100

Alabama

Alabama by 13 • 81.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATAlabama

32-71FG39-75

45.0%FG%52.0%

10-303PT11-34

33.0%3PT%32.0%

13-24FT11-13

54.0%FT%85.0%

44Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists23

13Turnovers7

7Steals7

5Blocks6

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Riley	Forward	29	6-12	3-4	3-7	9	4	1	0	18
Kylan Boswell	G	32	7-15	1-5	2-5	7	3	1	0	17
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	33	6-13	1-4	2-3	4	6	2	0	15
Tomislav Ivisic	C	31	6-11	2-6	0-2	10	1	1	1	14
Ben Humrichous	F	30	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	1	1	1	11
Tre White	G	16	1-4	0-1	4-4	5	0	0	1	6
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	2	4
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	17	0-5	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Carey Booth	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Grant Nelson	Forward	28	9-15	4-9	1-1	8	2	1	4	23
Aden Holloway	G	29	7-10	3-4	1-1	1	2	1	0	18
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	33	7-13	0-2	2-2	7	9	2	1	16
Latrell Wrightsell	G	30	4-6	2-4	6-7	2	4	0	0	16
Derrion Reid	F	19	3-7	0-1	1-1	4	0	0	0	7
Aiden Sherrell	F	9	3-7	1-4	0-0	4	0	2	1	7
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	15	3-4	0-0	0-1	6	2	0	0	6
Jarin Stevenson	F	13	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	3	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Mark Sears	Guard	21	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.3Possessions81.3

107.0Offensive Efficiency123.0

123.0Defensive Efficiency107.0

-16.0Net Efficiency16.0

52.1%Effective FG%59.3%

52.8%True Shooting %61.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate8.6%

33.8%Free Throw Rate17.3%

42.3%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.15Assist / Turnover3.29

Game Summary

Alabama won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 81.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.