San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.9%San Diego State

91.1%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -1024

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 68

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreGonzaga 84

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricGonzaga

60.1MMH Power Index76.4

110.3Offensive Efficiency119.7

99.3Defensive Efficiency94.0

11.0Net Efficiency25.7

3.8Strength of Schedule3.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

70.8Tempo70.4

53.2%Effective FG%55.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.6%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate31.5%

7.8Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), defensive efficiency (94.0–99.3), net efficiency (25.7–11.0).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.8–3.0), free throw rate (39.6–31.5).

Final

San Diego State

84—74

Gonzaga

San Diego State by 10 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATGonzaga

32-64FG25-59

50.0%FG%42.4%

8-253PT5-19

32.0%3PT%26.3%

12-16FT19-25

75.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists14

11Turnovers13

5Steals7

3Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Waters	Guard	35	8-11	3-5	3-4	5	2	2	0	22
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	33	5-12	1-1	9-12	7	3	0	0	20
Darrion Trammell	Guard	33	7-13	3-7	0-0	1	1	0	1	17
Miles Byrd	G	23	4-8	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	9
Jay Pal	Forward	26	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Elijah Saunders	F	15	2-5	0-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	4
Lamont Butler	Guard	11	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Micah Parrish	Guard	17	1-6	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Miles Heide	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	31	8-13	0-0	4-6	10	0	2	0	20
Anton Watson	Forward	40	6-10	1-1	3-5	4	3	3	0	16
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	5-14	0-5	5-7	5	9	1	0	15
Ben Gregg	Forward	20	2-6	1-5	4-4	2	0	0	1	9
Nolan Hickman	Guard	39	2-9	2-4	1-1	4	1	1	0	7
Dusty Stromer	G	21	1-3	1-2	2-2	4	1	0	0	5
Braden Huff	F	8	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Junseok Yeo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

113.8Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency113.8

13.6Net Efficiency-13.6

56.3%Effective FG%46.6%

58.7%True Shooting %52.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.8%

25.0%Free Throw Rate42.4%

39.1%3-Point Rate32.2%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.