North Carolina logo

North Carolina

24-9
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
75.6%North Carolina
24.4%Pittsburgh
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -6.7
PROJECTED TOTAL148.0
MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -310
Pittsburgh logo

Pittsburgh

13-20
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 77
Projected Total148.0
Projected ScorePittsburgh 71

Team Comparison

65.2MMH Power Index50.5
115.5Offensive Efficiency108.4
103.8Defensive Efficiency110.4
11.7Net Efficiency-2.0
7.6Strength of Schedule5.5
-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9
69.0Tempo65.0
54.6%Effective FG%51.4%
13.9%Turnover Rate17.3%
31.1%Offensive Rebound %33.1%
38.1%Free Throw Rate31.2%
8.1Average Margin-1.3
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–50.5), offensive efficiency (115.5–108.4), defensive efficiency (103.8–110.4), net efficiency (11.7–-2.0).
Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.1–31.1).
Final
North Carolina logo
North Carolina
70—57
Pittsburgh logo
Pittsburgh
North Carolina by 13 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATPittsburgh
23-63FG21-68
36.5%FG%30.9%
5-173PT5-29
29.4%3PT%17.2%
19-22FT10-15
86.4%FT%66.7%
51Rebounds41
16Offensive Rebounds14
12Assists6
9Turnovers8
5Steals5
7Blocks8
19Fouls19

Player Box Score

North Carolina
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Armando BacotForward355-100-16-6101130016
RJ DavisGuard366-163-60-034100015
Cormac RyanGuard323-90-24-470200010
Seth TrimbleG233-71-13-461100010
Harrison IngramForward352-141-52-215302007
Jae'Lyn WithersForward122-30-12-23000006
Elliot CadeauG152-20-00-10200004
Jalen WashingtonF80-20-12-32102002
Paxson WojcikGuard40-00-00-00000000
Pittsburgh
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Bub CarringtonGuard366-172-86-742010020
Blake HinsonForward314-162-111-340000011
Guillermo Diaz GrahamF254-111-61-240240010
Jaland LoweG254-80-12-232100010
Ishmael LeggettGuard322-60-00-08100004
Federiko FederikoF151-20-00-03021002
Zack AustinForward200-20-10-02002000
Jorge Diaz GrahamF120-40-20-15100000
Will JeffressF40-20-00-01000000

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8
103.2Offensive Efficiency84.1
84.1Defensive Efficiency103.2
19.2Net Efficiency-19.2
40.5%Effective FG%34.6%
47.7%True Shooting %37.9%
13.5%Turnover Rate11.6%
34.9%Free Throw Rate22.1%
27.0%3-Point Rate42.6%
1.33Assist / Turnover0.75
Game Summary
North Carolina won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.