Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Northwestern

94.6%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -19.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1752

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 65

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricIllinois

55.4MMH Power Index76.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.8Net Efficiency21.7

5.6Strength of Schedule6.7

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

65.6Tempo66.5

51.9%Effective FG%54.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

34.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.2Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (125.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.8), net efficiency (21.7–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–13.1), free throw rate (34.8–33.8).

Final

Northwestern

66—96

Illinois

Illinois by 30 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATIllinois

25-61FG35-56

41.0%FG%62.5%

8-163PT10-18

50.0%3PT%55.6%

8-8FT16-20

100.0%FT%80.0%

24Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists17

10Turnovers10

3Steals2

—Blocks5

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	27	6-14	2-4	6-6	0	0	0	20
Ty Berry	Guard	31	6-10	2-4	0-0	4	0	2	14
Luke Hunger	F	19	4-6	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	10
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	37	3-12	1-2	2-2	4	1	0	9
Nick Martinelli	F	29	3-6	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	7
Matthew Nicholson	Center	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4
Ryan Langborg	Guard	23	1-7	0-2	0-0	4	4	0	2
Blake Preston	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Justin Mullins	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Gus Hurlburt	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Domask	Forward	35	11-15	1-1	9-10	5	6	0	1	32
Justin Harmon	Guard	29	7-11	4-5	2-2	2	2	0	1	20
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	35	6-9	1-2	1-3	10	0	0	1	14
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	35	5-9	2-5	1-2	5	2	1	2	13
Luke Goode	Forward	32	2-5	1-4	1-1	5	1	1	0	6
Ty Rodgers	G	19	2-4	0-0	2-2	3	4	0	0	6
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	6	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Dain Dainja	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Amani Hansberry	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

99.0Offensive Efficiency143.9

143.9Defensive Efficiency99.0

-45.0Net Efficiency45.0

47.5%Effective FG%71.4%

50.9%True Shooting %73.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

13.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

26.2%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Illinois won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.