New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%New Mexico

39.8%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -151

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 77

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricColorado State

63.7MMH Power Index55.4

114.8Offensive Efficiency117.1

100.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

14.6Net Efficiency7.2

2.0Strength of Schedule0.4

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

70.7Tempo64.7

53.7%Effective FG%58.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

10.3Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (100.2–109.9), net efficiency (14.6–7.2), strength of schedule (2.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–114.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.7), free throw rate (41.2–36.5).

Final

New Mexico

68—76

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATColorado State

28-60FG26-53

46.7%FG%49.1%

8-173PT6-19

47.1%3PT%31.6%

4-11FT18-21

36.4%FT%85.7%

29Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists14

11Turnovers15

10Steals10

2Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	30	8-14	1-2	0-3	11	2	1	0	17
Jaelen House	Guard	18	5-8	4-5	0-0	4	1	2	0	14
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	32	5-15	2-4	1-1	1	2	1	0	13
Donovan Dent	G	36	4-9	0-1	2-3	3	9	2	0	10
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	27	3-5	0-0	1-4	2	3	1	1	7
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	26	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	2	0	5
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Isaac Mushila	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Tru Washington	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Braden Appelhans	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick Cartier	Forward	27	8-12	2-4	3-5	4	2	0	0	21
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	35	5-10	1-2	7-7	2	8	3	0	18
Nique Clifford	Guard	33	3-5	0-0	6-7	10	1	2	2	12
Joel Scott	Forward	24	5-11	0-2	0-0	7	0	2	1	10
Jalen Lake	Guard	32	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Kyan Evans	G	5	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Joe Palmer	Guard	18	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Rashaan Mbemba	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Tavi Jackson	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	1	0
Javonte Johnson	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

97.7Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency97.7

-11.5Net Efficiency11.5

53.3%Effective FG%54.7%

52.1%True Shooting %60.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate21.4%

18.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

28.3%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.64Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.