Syracuse

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.2%Syracuse

97.8%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -24.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -4445

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSyracuse 62

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

SyracuseMetricDuke

52.2MMH Power Index81.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

106.6Defensive Efficiency95.2

2.6Net Efficiency27.0

5.6Strength of Schedule7.8

-15.1Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.0Tempo66.8

52.9%Effective FG%56.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

29.0%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

1.8Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–52.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–109.2), defensive efficiency (95.2–106.6), net efficiency (27.0–2.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–15.9).

Final

Syracuse

66—86

Duke

Duke by 20 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SyracuseTEAM STATDuke

24-55FG31-59

43.6%FG%52.5%

4-163PT8-17

25.0%3PT%47.1%

14-17FT16-18

82.4%FT%88.9%

31Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists19

17Turnovers11

7Steals11

3Blocks5

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maliq Brown	F	33	11-16	1-2	3-3	7	0	1	0	26
Judah Mintz	Guard	39	5-14	0-2	8-9	4	6	3	0	18
J.J. Starling	G	35	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Quadir Copeland	G	26	2-9	2-6	0-0	3	4	2	0	6
Benny Williams	Forward	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	1	2
Chris Bell	F	11	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Justin Taylor	G	22	0-2	0-1	1-3	4	1	0	1	1
Naheem McLeod	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	31	7-10	0-2	7-9	6	3	0	2	21
Jared McCain	Guard	31	6-13	4-6	2-2	2	2	1	0	18
Jeremy Roach	Guard	32	7-11	2-2	1-1	4	2	2	0	17
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	27	5-7	2-4	2-2	0	4	1	0	14
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	27	5-7	0-0	2-2	7	3	1	1	12
Caleb Foster	G	21	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	0	2
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	15	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	2	3	1	2
TJ Power	F	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Sean Stewart	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ryan Young	Center	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

89.3Offensive Efficiency116.4

116.4Defensive Efficiency89.3

-27.1Net Efficiency27.1

47.3%Effective FG%59.3%

52.3%True Shooting %63.7%

22.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.9%Free Throw Rate30.5%

29.1%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Duke won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.