Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Virginia

61.7%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -161

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 73

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreTennessee 77

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricTennessee

68.9MMH Power Index68.6

119.0Offensive Efficiency115.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency102.1

17.2Net Efficiency13.7

5.2Strength of Schedule7.8

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

67.6Tempo68.1

55.0%Effective FG%51.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

33.2%Free Throw Rate38.6%

11.6Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–68.6), offensive efficiency (119.0–115.8), defensive efficiency (101.8–102.1), net efficiency (17.2–13.7).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.8–5.2), offensive rebounding (44.5–37.4), free throw rate (38.6–33.2).

Final

Virginia

42—64

Tennessee

Tennessee by 22 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATTennessee

14-49FG25-66

29.0%FG%38.0%

6-203PT9-25

30.0%3PT%36.0%

8-11FT5-10

73.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds18

9Assists11

18Turnovers7

—Steals8

5Blocks7

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Dai Dai Ames	G	29	3-8	1-3	5-6	2	0	0	12
Andrew Rohde	G	28	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	3	0	8
Blake Buchanan	F	28	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	3	6
Isaac McKneely	G	36	1-6	1-3	1-3	3	3	0	4
Anthony Robinson	F	2	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	4
Elijah Saunders	F	21	1-8	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	3
Taine Murray	Guard	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	3
Jacob Cofie	F	20	1-5	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	2
TJ Power	F	20	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0
Ishan Sharma	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Desmond Roberts	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaz Lanier	Guard	30	10-23	6-12	0-0	4	0	1	0	26
Igor Milicic Jr.	Forward	28	5-10	2-3	2-2	8	3	0	0	14
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	34	3-5	1-1	0-2	5	1	4	2	7
Jordan Gainey	Guard	25	1-6	0-2	3-3	7	1	1	0	5
Felix Okpara	F	26	2-6	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	3	4
Darlinstone Dubar	Guard	11	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	36	1-9	0-6	0-1	4	6	2	1	2
Bishop Boswell	G	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Cade Phillips	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Grant Hurst	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

69.4Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency69.4

-36.4Net Efficiency36.4

34.7%Effective FG%44.7%

38.7%True Shooting %45.2%

29.4%Turnover Rate11.7%

22.4%Free Throw Rate15.2%

40.8%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.