Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%Baylor

85.6%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -594

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 72

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreSt. John's 85

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricSt. John's

58.9MMH Power Index70.3

116.7Offensive Efficiency114.4

109.5Defensive Efficiency97.6

7.2Net Efficiency16.8

4.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

69.7Tempo70.9

54.4%Effective FG%51.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

34.8%Free Throw Rate41.1%

5.1Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–58.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.5), net efficiency (16.8–7.2), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–114.4), shooting efficiency (54.4–51.3), offensive rebounding (37.5–34.8).

Final

Baylor

99—98

St. John's

Baylor by 1 • 89.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATSt. John's

35-83FG34-62

42.0%FG%55.0%

15-293PT14-24

52.0%3PT%58.0%

14-23FT16-28

61.0%FT%57.0%

41Rebounds41

16Offensive Rebounds7

22Assists22

15Turnovers18

11Steals9

5Blocks11

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	40	9-18	0-3	6-10	10	3	3	1	24
Jeremy Roach	Guard	44	7-14	3-5	3-5	3	4	1	0	20
Robert Wright III	G	27	6-13	4-5	1-2	1	3	1	0	17
Jalen Celestine	G	32	4-7	4-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Jayden Nunn	Guard	38	4-12	2-5	2-4	8	4	2	1	12
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	36	4-15	2-5	0-0	4	3	3	2	10
Josh Ojianwuna	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Langston Love	G	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	4	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	42	8-10	0-0	6-12	10	2	1	5	22
Aaron Scott	Guard	35	6-8	5-6	3-4	6	1	0	1	20
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	42	6-13	3-5	1-2	6	4	2	2	16
Kadary Richmond	Guard	45	4-11	1-2	5-8	4	7	2	1	14
Deivon Smith	Guard	36	4-8	1-3	1-2	6	5	1	2	10
Simeon Wilcher	G	27	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	1	2	0	6
Brady Dunlap	F	12	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ruben Prey	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

89.6Possessions89.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency110.5

1.1Net Efficiency-1.1

51.2%Effective FG%66.1%

52.7%True Shooting %65.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate20.9%

27.7%Free Throw Rate45.2%

34.9%3-Point Rate38.7%

1.47Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Baylor won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 89.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.