UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.9%UConn

19.1%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -424

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 80

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreButler 71

Team Comparison

UConnMetricButler

70.2MMH Power Index52.7

116.3Offensive Efficiency111.7

98.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

17.9Net Efficiency2.6

6.3Strength of Schedule3.1

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

66.2Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

11.8Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (116.3–111.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–109.1), net efficiency (17.9–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHball security (15.9–16.4), free throw rate (42.9–30.7).

Final

UConn

88—81

Butler

UConn by 7 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATButler

30-55FG25-53

54.5%FG%47.2%

10-263PT8-17

38.5%3PT%47.1%

18-23FT23-25

78.3%FT%92.0%

33Rebounds24

11Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists14

13Turnovers11

8Steals10

4Blocks—

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	31	7-10	4-6	2-3	5	1	0	1	20
Tristen Newton	Guard	37	3-12	1-8	10-13	2	5	2	0	17
Stephon Castle	Guard	36	5-9	1-1	3-3	9	4	2	0	14
Cam Spencer	Guard	36	6-11	2-7	0-0	4	3	3	1	14
Hassan Diarra	Guard	18	3-4	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Samson Johnson	Center	20	4-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	8
Jaylin Stewart	F	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Solo Ball	G	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Youssouf Singar	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
DJ Davis	Guard	32	8-19	4-8	2-2	2	4	1	22
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	33	5-10	3-6	6-6	3	1	3	19
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	34	4-8	0-1	8-8	3	0	0	16
Jalen Thomas	Forward	17	3-4	0-0	1-1	1	0	2	7
Andre Screen	Center	14	0-1	0-0	5-6	6	0	0	5
Boden Kapke	F	3	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	5
Posh Alexander	Guard	33	1-5	1-2	0-0	2	6	1	3
Landon Moore	G	24	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	2
Finley Bizjack	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

129.6Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency129.6

10.3Net Efficiency-10.3

63.6%Effective FG%54.7%

66.7%True Shooting %62.4%

19.1%Turnover Rate16.2%

41.8%Free Throw Rate47.2%

47.3%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

UConn won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.