Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Colorado State

84.0%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -525

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricUtah State

55.4MMH Power Index65.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency119.7

109.9Defensive Efficiency103.1

7.2Net Efficiency16.6

0.4Strength of Schedule3.5

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

64.7Tempo68.6

58.6%Effective FG%56.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.6Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–55.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–117.1), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.9), net efficiency (16.6–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.3–0.3), shooting efficiency (58.6–56.9), free throw rate (41.2–39.1).

Final

Colorado State

72—77

Utah State

Utah State by 5 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATUtah State

30-67FG26-59

44.8%FG%44.1%

8-243PT5-18

33.3%3PT%27.8%

4-11FT20-23

36.4%FT%87.0%

33Rebounds45

11Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists11

9Turnovers13

5Steals5

3Blocks5

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	35	8-16	4-8	1-3	4	8	1	1	21
Nique Clifford	Guard	26	8-13	2-5	0-1	4	3	2	1	18
Patrick Cartier	Forward	24	7-12	0-2	1-3	3	2	1	0	15
Joel Scott	Forward	28	2-7	0-1	2-4	4	0	0	1	6
Josiah Strong	Guard	18	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	4
Jalen Lake	Guard	29	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Joe Palmer	Guard	19	1-3	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Tavi Jackson	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Rashaan Mbemba	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyle Evans	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	35	6-12	0-0	8-8	14	3	1	2	20
Mason Falslev	G	34	8-13	0-2	2-3	6	3	1	0	18
Darius Brown II	Guard	37	2-11	1-5	4-4	5	3	1	0	9
Josh Uduje	Guard	27	3-9	1-4	2-4	2	1	1	1	9
Ian Martinez	Guard	24	4-7	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	9
Isaac Johnson	C	19	3-4	2-3	0-0	8	1	1	0	8
Javon Jackson	G	13	0-2	0-1	4-4	2	0	0	1	4
Kalifa Sakho	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

102.7Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency102.7

-7.1Net Efficiency7.1

50.7%Effective FG%48.3%

49.8%True Shooting %55.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

16.4%Free Throw Rate39.0%

35.8%3-Point Rate30.5%

1.89Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Utah State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.