Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.5%Duke

4.5%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -18.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2122

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 84

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 65

Team Comparison

DukeMetricNotre Dame

81.7MMH Power Index49.7

122.2Offensive Efficiency110.3

95.2Defensive Efficiency111.2

27.0Net Efficiency-0.9

7.8Strength of Schedule4.7

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

66.8Tempo68.0

56.9%Effective FG%53.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

39.0%Free Throw Rate34.7%

18.0Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–49.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–110.3), defensive efficiency (95.2–111.2), net efficiency (27.0–-0.9).

Final

Duke

67—59

Notre Dame

Duke by 8 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATNotre Dame

21-59FG23-59

35.6%FG%39.0%

8-263PT5-19

30.8%3PT%26.3%

17-21FT8-16

81.0%FT%50.0%

40Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists5

11Turnovers14

9Steals7

4Blocks5

14Fouls22

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	32	8-12	2-2	5-5	14	1	1	0	23
Jeremy Roach	Guard	34	4-9	1-4	9-9	6	2	4	0	18
Jared McCain	Guard	32	4-13	2-9	1-1	5	0	0	0	11
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	35	2-12	1-4	2-5	6	4	0	3	7
Caleb Foster	G	25	1-4	1-1	0-1	0	0	2	0	3
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Ryan Young	Center	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	22	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
TJ Power	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Burton	G	38	7-21	1-4	3-3	3	4	1	0	18
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	27	4-9	4-7	0-0	2	0	2	0	12
Kebba Njie	F	27	4-6	0-0	1-2	10	0	0	2	9
Tae Davis	F	27	3-8	0-2	3-8	5	1	2	0	9
Julian Roper II	Guard	24	2-6	0-3	0-1	5	0	0	0	4
Carey Booth	F	22	1-4	0-2	1-2	6	0	1	1	3
J.R. Konieczny	F	18	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	2	2
Matt Zona	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Logan Imes	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

96.0Offensive Efficiency84.5

84.5Defensive Efficiency96.0

11.5Net Efficiency-11.5

42.4%Effective FG%43.2%

48.6%True Shooting %44.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate20.1%

35.6%Free Throw Rate27.1%

44.1%3-Point Rate32.2%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.36

Game Summary

Duke won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.